Trader consensus heavily favors no in-person meeting between President Trump and President Putin by June 30, reflecting the absence of any announced summit plans amid ongoing Ukraine peace negotiations conducted through U.S. envoys like Steve Witkoff, who is scheduled to visit Moscow this week to advance a potential deal. A March 9 phone call between the leaders addressed de-escalation in Ukraine and the Iran conflict, with Trump describing Putin as constructive, but White House officials have repeatedly stated no immediate direct meetings are planned. Lower probabilities for locations like Gulf countries or Russia stem from historical precedents such as the 2025 Alaska summit, yet current diplomacy prioritizes proxy talks over high-profile summits, with Russia expressing hope for U.S. discussions soon under favorable conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於6月30日之前沒有會面 82.5%
海灣國家 3.8%
俄羅斯 2.8%
其他歐盟國家 2.8%
$4,137,915 交易量
$4,137,915 交易量

6月30日之前沒有會面
83%

海灣國家
4%

俄羅斯
3%

其他歐盟國家
3%

中國
2%

其他
2%

美國
2%

土耳其
1%

白俄羅斯
1%

烏克蘭
1%

瑞士
<1%

日本
<1%

芬蘭
<1%

南韓
<1%

澳洲
<1%
6月30日之前沒有會面 82.5%
海灣國家 3.8%
俄羅斯 2.8%
其他歐盟國家 2.8%
$4,137,915 交易量
$4,137,915 交易量

6月30日之前沒有會面
83%

海灣國家
4%

俄羅斯
3%

其他歐盟國家
3%

中國
2%

其他
2%

美國
2%

土耳其
1%

白俄羅斯
1%

烏克蘭
1%

瑞士
<1%

日本
<1%

芬蘭
<1%

南韓
<1%

澳洲
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no in-person meeting between President Trump and President Putin by June 30, reflecting the absence of any announced summit plans amid ongoing Ukraine peace negotiations conducted through U.S. envoys like Steve Witkoff, who is scheduled to visit Moscow this week to advance a potential deal. A March 9 phone call between the leaders addressed de-escalation in Ukraine and the Iran conflict, with Trump describing Putin as constructive, but White House officials have repeatedly stated no immediate direct meetings are planned. Lower probabilities for locations like Gulf countries or Russia stem from historical precedents such as the 2025 Alaska summit, yet current diplomacy prioritizes proxy talks over high-profile summits, with Russia expressing hope for U.S. discussions soon under favorable conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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