Trader consensus heavily favors $X at 36% implied probability, driven by Elon Musk's persistent "X" branding obsession—from X.com origins to the rebranded X platform—mirroring his unconventional ticker choice for Tesla (TSLA over TSLA-like alternatives). $STAR trails at 14%, fueled by Musk's recent confirmation of Starlink's profitability and potential 2025 spin-off IPO, separate from core SpaceX operations aimed at Mars colonization. Lower odds on $SPAX (6.9%) and $SX (5.9%) reflect SPAC merger speculation and simple abbreviations, amid SpaceX's $210 billion valuation surge from Starship tests and NASA contracts. No SEC filing exists; Musk insists full privatization until multiplanetary status, tempering near-term odds amid regulatory scrutiny on government ties.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$X 39%
$STAR 14.0%
$SPAX 6.9%
$SX 5.9%
$2,832,700 交易量
$2,832,700 交易量
$X
39%
$STAR
14%
$SPAX
7%
$SX
6%
$SPACE
4%
$MARS
4%
$SEX
3%
$SPC
1%
$X 39%
$STAR 14.0%
$SPAX 6.9%
$SX 5.9%
$2,832,700 交易量
$2,832,700 交易量
$X
39%
$STAR
14%
$SPAX
7%
$SX
6%
$SPACE
4%
$MARS
4%
$SEX
3%
$SPC
1%
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間: Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors $X at 36% implied probability, driven by Elon Musk's persistent "X" branding obsession—from X.com origins to the rebranded X platform—mirroring his unconventional ticker choice for Tesla (TSLA over TSLA-like alternatives). $STAR trails at 14%, fueled by Musk's recent confirmation of Starlink's profitability and potential 2025 spin-off IPO, separate from core SpaceX operations aimed at Mars colonization. Lower odds on $SPAX (6.9%) and $SX (5.9%) reflect SPAC merger speculation and simple abbreviations, amid SpaceX's $210 billion valuation surge from Starship tests and NASA contracts. No SEC filing exists; Musk insists full privatization until multiplanetary status, tempering near-term odds amid regulatory scrutiny on government ties.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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