Iran's latest missile and drone strike on March 28 targeted the U.S.-operated Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia, wounding 10-20 American troops and damaging refueling aircraft, marking direct escalation in the ongoing U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict that erupted in late February with joint strikes reportedly killing Supreme Leader Khamenei. Tehran has since launched barrages at Israel, Gulf states including UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Oman hosting U.S. bases, and energy infrastructure, retaliating against Israeli airstrikes and U.S. operations amid Hezbollah clashes in Lebanon. President Trump paused threats against Iranian oil facilities until April 6 for talks, but mutual accusations persist, with Iran vowing further regional hits on military assets; traders eye potential naval targets in the Strait of Hormuz or intensified proxy actions before April 30 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$51,281 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
Ras Laffan Industrial City
49%
Ras Tanura
40%
Al Zour Refinery
27%
Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery
26%
Habshan Field/Processing Complex
26%
Ruwais Refinery
26%
Ghawar Field
25%
Safaniya Field
21%
East–West Pipeline
21%
Khurais Field
21%
Leviathan Field
17%
Abqaiq oil processing facility
17%
Dimona (Shimon Peres Negev Nuclear Research Center)
10%
Burj Khalifa
6%
$51,281 交易量
Ras Laffan Industrial City
$11,278 交易量
49%
Ras Tanura
$4,317 交易量
40%
Al Zour Refinery
$0 交易量
27%
Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery
$3,163 交易量
26%
Habshan Field/Processing Complex
$6,218 交易量
26%
Ruwais Refinery
$1,865 交易量
26%
Ghawar Field
$532 交易量
25%
Safaniya Field
$0 交易量
21%
East–West Pipeline
$4,903 交易量
21%
Khurais Field
$4,331 交易量
21%
Leviathan Field
$1,480 交易量
17%
Abqaiq oil processing facility
$559 交易量
17%
Dimona (Shimon Peres Negev Nuclear Research Center)
$12,635 交易量
10%
Burj Khalifa
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.Iran's latest missile and drone strike on March 28 targeted the U.S.-operated Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia, wounding 10-20 American troops and damaging refueling aircraft, marking direct escalation in the ongoing U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict that erupted in late February with joint strikes reportedly killing Supreme Leader Khamenei. Tehran has since launched barrages at Israel, Gulf states including UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Oman hosting U.S. bases, and energy infrastructure, retaliating against Israeli airstrikes and U.S. operations amid Hezbollah clashes in Lebanon. President Trump paused threats against Iranian oil facilities until April 6 for talks, but mutual accusations persist, with Iran vowing further regional hits on military assets; traders eye potential naval targets in the Strait of Hormuz or intensified proxy actions before April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
市場開放時間： Mar 23, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
交易量
$51,281結束日期
Apr 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.Iran's latest missile and drone strike on March 28 targeted the U.S.-operated Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia, wounding 10-20 American troops and damaging refueling aircraft, marking direct escalation in the ongoing U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict that erupted in late February with joint strikes reportedly killing Supreme Leader Khamenei. Tehran has since launched barrages at Israel, Gulf states including UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Oman hosting U.S. bases, and energy infrastructure, retaliating against Israeli airstrikes and U.S. operations amid Hezbollah clashes in Lebanon. President Trump paused threats against Iranian oil facilities until April 6 for talks, but mutual accusations persist, with Iran vowing further regional hits on military assets; traders eye potential naval targets in the Strait of Hormuz or intensified proxy actions before April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
交易量
$51,281結束日期
Apr 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's latest missile and drone strike on March 28 targeted the U.S.-operated Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia, wounding 10-20 American troops and damaging refueling aircraft, marking direct escalation in the ongoing U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict that erupted in late February with joint strikes reportedly killing Supreme Leader Khamenei. Tehran has since launched barrages at Israel, Gulf states including UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Oman hosting U.S. bases, and energy infrastructure, retaliating against Israeli airstrikes and U.S. operations amid Hezbollah clashes in Lebanon. President Trump paused threats against Iranian oil facilities until April 6 for talks, but mutual accusations persist, with Iran vowing further regional hits on military assets; traders eye potential naval targets in the Strait of Hormuz or intensified proxy actions before April 30 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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