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經濟艙·Jerome Powell

美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？

Market icon
經濟艙·Jerome Powell

美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？

$1,267,361 交易量

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,267,361 交易量

Polymarket

↑ 5.5%

$42,270 交易量

4%

↑ 5.25%

$135,456 交易量

6%

↑ 5.0%

$9,703 交易量

3%

↑ 4.75%

$65,440 交易量

4%

↑ 4.5%

$9,817 交易量

5%

↑ 4.25%

$21,727 交易量

11%

↓ 3.25%

$52,696 交易量

64%

↓ 3.0%

$214,649 交易量

38%

↓ 2.75%

$250,226 交易量

20%

↓ 2.5%

$171,423 交易量

15%

↓ 2.25%

$21,904 交易量

11%

↓ 2.0%

$14,496 交易量

13%

↓ 1.75%

$5,943 交易量

9%

↓ 1.5%

$24,836 交易量

12%

↓ 1.25%

$893 交易量

26%

↓ 1.0%

$0 交易量

10%

↓ 0.75%

$388 交易量

9%

↓ 0.5%

$89,217 交易量

6%

↓ 0.25%

$117,158 交易量

8%

↓ 0%

$10,116 交易量

6%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve's March 18, 2026, FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% for a second consecutive session, reflecting sticky inflation with February CPI at 2.4% year-over-year and January core PCE near 3.1%, alongside a softening labor market evidenced by February nonfarm payrolls declining 92,000. The updated dot plot shows a median projection of 3.4% by end-2026—implying just one 25-basis-point cut—versus official guidance, as 10-year Treasury yields hover around 4.42%. Polymarket trader consensus, backed by over $1 million in volume, prices a limited easing path before 2027 amid resilient economic data. Upcoming catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC, March jobs report, and CPI/PCE releases that could alter rate expectations.

The Federal Reserve's March 18, 2026, FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% for a second consecutive session, reflecting sticky inflation with February CPI at 2.4% year-over-year and January core PCE near 3.1%, alongside a softening labor market evidenced by February nonfarm payrolls declining 92,000. The updated dot plot shows a median projection of 3.4% by end-2026—implying just one 25-basis-point cut—versus official guidance, as 10-year Treasury yields hover around 4.42%. Polymarket trader consensus, backed by over $1 million in volume, prices a limited easing path before 2027 amid resilient economic data. Upcoming catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC, March jobs report, and CPI/PCE releases that could alter rate expectations.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve's March 18, 2026, FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% for a second consecutive session, reflecting sticky inflation with February CPI at 2.4% year-over-year and January core PCE near 3.1%, alongside a softening labor market evidenced by February nonfarm payrolls declining 92,000. The updated dot plot shows a median projection of 3.4% by end-2026—implying just one 25-basis-point cut—versus official guidance, as 10-year Treasury yields hover around 4.42%. Polymarket trader consensus, backed by over $1 million in volume, prices a limited easing path before 2027 amid resilient economic data. Upcoming catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC, March jobs report, and CPI/PCE releases that could alter rate expectations.

The Federal Reserve's March 18, 2026, FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% for a second consecutive session, reflecting sticky inflation with February CPI at 2.4% year-over-year and January core PCE near 3.1%, alongside a softening labor market evidenced by February nonfarm payrolls declining 92,000. The updated dot plot shows a median projection of 3.4% by end-2026—implying just one 25-basis-point cut—versus official guidance, as 10-year Treasury yields hover around 4.42%. Polymarket trader consensus, backed by over $1 million in volume, prices a limited easing path before 2027 amid resilient economic data. Upcoming catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC, March jobs report, and CPI/PCE releases that could alter rate expectations.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↓ 3.5%" at 100%, followed by "↓ 3.25%" at 64%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？" is "↓ 3.5%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↓ 3.25%" at 64%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.