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經濟艙·Jerome Powell

美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？

Market icon
經濟艙·Jerome Powell

美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？

$826,427 交易量

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$826,427 交易量

Polymarket

↑ 5.5%

$17,690 交易量

4%

↑ 5.25%

$15,597 交易量

22%

↑ 5.0%

$9,297 交易量

4%

↑ 4.75%

$3,746 交易量

4%

↑ 4.5%

$9,522 交易量

5%

↑ 4.25%

$21,389 交易量

10%

↓ 3.25%

$52,526 交易量

61%

↓ 3.0%

$214,609 交易量

38%

↓ 2.75%

$250,215 交易量

19%

↓ 2.5%

$171,237 交易量

16%

↓ 2.25%

$21,884 交易量

11%

↓ 2.0%

$206 交易量

13%

↓ 1.75%

$5,883 交易量

9%

↓ 1.5%

$559 交易量

9%

↓ 1.25%

$841 交易量

38%

↓ 1.0%

$0 交易量

9%

↓ 0.75%

$0 交易量

7%

↓ 0.5%

$8,179 交易量

6%

↓ 0.25%

$4,151 交易量

5%

↓ 0%

$9,895 交易量

6%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following its March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, as confirmed in the official statement, amid solid economic expansion, somewhat elevated inflation at 2.4% year-over-year per February CPI, and a labor market showing 4.4% unemployment with 92,000 job losses but stable weekly claims near 210,000. The updated dot plot projects a median fed funds rate of 3.4% by year-end 2026, implying trader consensus for one 25-basis-point cut amid balanced risks. Polymarket sentiment, backed by over $800,000 in volume, reflects expectations of the lower bound dipping modestly below current levels before 2027, tempered by resilient data. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC, where incoming inflation and employment prints could shift the policy path.

The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following its March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, as confirmed in the official statement, amid solid economic expansion, somewhat elevated inflation at 2.4% year-over-year per February CPI, and a labor market showing 4.4% unemployment with 92,000 job losses but stable weekly claims near 210,000. The updated dot plot projects a median fed funds rate of 3.4% by year-end 2026, implying trader consensus for one 25-basis-point cut amid balanced risks. Polymarket sentiment, backed by over $800,000 in volume, reflects expectations of the lower bound dipping modestly below current levels before 2027, tempered by resilient data. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC, where incoming inflation and employment prints could shift the policy path.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following its March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, as confirmed in the official statement, amid solid economic expansion, somewhat elevated inflation at 2.4% year-over-year per February CPI, and a labor market showing 4.4% unemployment with 92,000 job losses but stable weekly claims near 210,000. The updated dot plot projects a median fed funds rate of 3.4% by year-end 2026, implying trader consensus for one 25-basis-point cut amid balanced risks. Polymarket sentiment, backed by over $800,000 in volume, reflects expectations of the lower bound dipping modestly below current levels before 2027, tempered by resilient data. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC, where incoming inflation and employment prints could shift the policy path.

The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following its March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, as confirmed in the official statement, amid solid economic expansion, somewhat elevated inflation at 2.4% year-over-year per February CPI, and a labor market showing 4.4% unemployment with 92,000 job losses but stable weekly claims near 210,000. The updated dot plot projects a median fed funds rate of 3.4% by year-end 2026, implying trader consensus for one 25-basis-point cut amid balanced risks. Polymarket sentiment, backed by over $800,000 in volume, reflects expectations of the lower bound dipping modestly below current levels before 2027, tempered by resilient data. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC, where incoming inflation and employment prints could shift the policy path.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↓ 3.5%" at 100%, followed by "↓ 3.25%" at 61%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？" has generated $826.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？" is "↓ 3.5%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↓ 3.25%" at 61%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.