Market icon
政治·主要

維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Bert Mizusawa 38%

大衛·威廉斯 21%

Chuck Smith 21%

Al Mina 7.6%

Polymarket

$1,478,732 交易量

Bert Mizusawa 38%

大衛·威廉斯 21%

Chuck Smith 21%

Al Mina 7.6%

Polymarket

$1,478,732 交易量

Bert Mizusawa

$4,663 交易量

38%

大衛·威廉斯

$12,111 交易量

21%

Chuck Smith

$3,329 交易量

20%

Al Mina

$996,328 交易量

8%

Kim Farington

$404,120 交易量

7%

溫森·厄爾-西爾斯

$10,150 交易量

2%

傑森·米亞雷斯

$13,387 交易量

1%

Bryce Reeves

$32,179 交易量

1%

Alex De Paula

$2,465 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the crowded Virginia Republican U.S. Senate primary on August 4, trader consensus favors military veterans amid absent public polls and major endorsements, positioning retired Army Maj. Gen. Bert Mizusawa at 37.5% implied probability due to his command experience and recent petition drives like March 21 signature gatherings. Former Marine and Navy JAG Chuck Smith holds 26% from his 2024 primary performance, while David Williams sits at 21% leveraging 30 years in Navy, Marine Corps, and State Department service since his November 2025 launch. Kim Farington trails at 7.1% despite strong end-2025 fundraising per VPAP, reflecting field fragmentation where resumes drive early skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of potential debates or whips.

In the crowded Virginia Republican U.S. Senate primary on August 4, trader consensus favors military veterans amid absent public polls and major endorsements, positioning retired Army Maj. Gen. Bert Mizusawa at 37.5% implied probability due to his command experience and recent petition drives like March 21 signature gatherings. Former Marine and Navy JAG Chuck Smith holds 26% from his 2024 primary performance, while David Williams sits at 21% leveraging 30 years in Navy, Marine Corps, and State Department service since his November 2025 launch. Kim Farington trails at 7.1% despite strong end-2025 fundraising per VPAP, reflecting field fragmentation where resumes drive early skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of potential debates or whips.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the crowded Virginia Republican U.S. Senate primary on August 4, trader consensus favors military veterans amid absent public polls and major endorsements, positioning retired Army Maj. Gen. Bert Mizusawa at 37.5% implied probability due to his command experience and recent petition drives like March 21 signature gatherings. Former Marine and Navy JAG Chuck Smith holds 26% from his 2024 primary performance, while David Williams sits at 21% leveraging 30 years in Navy, Marine Corps, and State Department service since his November 2025 launch. Kim Farington trails at 7.1% despite strong end-2025 fundraising per VPAP, reflecting field fragmentation where resumes drive early skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of potential debates or whips.

In the crowded Virginia Republican U.S. Senate primary on August 4, trader consensus favors military veterans amid absent public polls and major endorsements, positioning retired Army Maj. Gen. Bert Mizusawa at 37.5% implied probability due to his command experience and recent petition drives like March 21 signature gatherings. Former Marine and Navy JAG Chuck Smith holds 26% from his 2024 primary performance, while David Williams sits at 21% leveraging 30 years in Navy, Marine Corps, and State Department service since his November 2025 launch. Kim Farington trails at 7.1% despite strong end-2025 fundraising per VPAP, reflecting field fragmentation where resumes drive early skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of potential debates or whips.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bert Mizusawa" at 38%, followed by "大衛·威廉斯" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $1.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "Bert Mizusawa" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "大衛·威廉斯" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.