Incumbent Rep. Jennifer McClellan (D) seeks reelection in Virginia's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index, where she won 67% in 2024 amid 66% Democratic presidential support. Rated Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball and Solid Democrat by Cook Political Report as of mid-March, the race lacks declared Republican primary challengers ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries, with only independent Jason Brown in the general field. McClellan's recent securing of over $10 million in community project funding bolsters her position, reflecting trader consensus on her incumbency advantage and district demographics. A late GOP recruit, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, or unforeseen scandal could challenge this outlook before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
92%
共和黨
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
$0 交易量
92%
共和黨
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jennifer McClellan (D) seeks reelection in Virginia's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index, where she won 67% in 2024 amid 66% Democratic presidential support. Rated Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball and Solid Democrat by Cook Political Report as of mid-March, the race lacks declared Republican primary challengers ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries, with only independent Jason Brown in the general field. McClellan's recent securing of over $10 million in community project funding bolsters her position, reflecting trader consensus on her incumbency advantage and district demographics. A late GOP recruit, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, or unforeseen scandal could challenge this outlook before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jennifer McClellan (D) seeks reelection in Virginia's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index, where she won 67% in 2024 amid 66% Democratic presidential support. Rated Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball and Solid Democrat by Cook Political Report as of mid-March, the race lacks declared Republican primary challengers ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries, with only independent Jason Brown in the general field. McClellan's recent securing of over $10 million in community project funding bolsters her position, reflecting trader consensus on her incumbency advantage and district demographics. A late GOP recruit, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, or unforeseen scandal could challenge this outlook before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jennifer McClellan (D) seeks reelection in Virginia's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index, where she won 67% in 2024 amid 66% Democratic presidential support. Rated Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball and Solid Democrat by Cook Political Report as of mid-March, the race lacks declared Republican primary challengers ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries, with only independent Jason Brown in the general field. McClellan's recent securing of over $10 million in community project funding bolsters her position, reflecting trader consensus on her incumbency advantage and district demographics. A late GOP recruit, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, or unforeseen scandal could challenge this outlook before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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