Recent polls showing Democratic challenger Missy Cotter Smasal leading incumbent Republican Rep. Jen Kiggans by 4-5 points have solidified trader consensus at 77% for a Democratic victory in Virginia's competitive 2nd Congressional District. Emerson College's October 24-27 survey pegged Smasal at 48% to Kiggans' 44%, echoing Roanoke College's October 17-22 results of 46%-43%, amid strong early voting turnout in Hampton Roads battlegrounds. Kiggans' 2022 win by 5 points in this R+4 leaning district faces headwinds from local priorities like abortion rights—bolstered by Virginia's ballot amendment—and military family concerns, though Election Day on November 5 could hinge on undecideds and turnout in swing precincts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主黨
61%
共和黨
31%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主黨
$0 交易量
61%
共和黨
$0 交易量
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polls showing Democratic challenger Missy Cotter Smasal leading incumbent Republican Rep. Jen Kiggans by 4-5 points have solidified trader consensus at 77% for a Democratic victory in Virginia's competitive 2nd Congressional District. Emerson College's October 24-27 survey pegged Smasal at 48% to Kiggans' 44%, echoing Roanoke College's October 17-22 results of 46%-43%, amid strong early voting turnout in Hampton Roads battlegrounds. Kiggans' 2022 win by 5 points in this R+4 leaning district faces headwinds from local priorities like abortion rights—bolstered by Virginia's ballot amendment—and military family concerns, though Election Day on November 5 could hinge on undecideds and turnout in swing precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 4, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polls showing Democratic challenger Missy Cotter Smasal leading incumbent Republican Rep. Jen Kiggans by 4-5 points have solidified trader consensus at 77% for a Democratic victory in Virginia's competitive 2nd Congressional District. Emerson College's October 24-27 survey pegged Smasal at 48% to Kiggans' 44%, echoing Roanoke College's October 17-22 results of 46%-43%, amid strong early voting turnout in Hampton Roads battlegrounds. Kiggans' 2022 win by 5 points in this R+4 leaning district faces headwinds from local priorities like abortion rights—bolstered by Virginia's ballot amendment—and military family concerns, though Election Day on November 5 could hinge on undecideds and turnout in swing precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 4, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls showing Democratic challenger Missy Cotter Smasal leading incumbent Republican Rep. Jen Kiggans by 4-5 points have solidified trader consensus at 77% for a Democratic victory in Virginia's competitive 2nd Congressional District. Emerson College's October 24-27 survey pegged Smasal at 48% to Kiggans' 44%, echoing Roanoke College's October 17-22 results of 46%-43%, amid strong early voting turnout in Hampton Roads battlegrounds. Kiggans' 2022 win by 5 points in this R+4 leaning district faces headwinds from local priorities like abortion rights—bolstered by Virginia's ballot amendment—and military family concerns, though Election Day on November 5 could hinge on undecideds and turnout in swing precincts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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