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政治·主要

UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者

Ben McAdams 48%

內特·布盧因 47%

凱瑟琳·裡貝 6.3%

珍妮·威爾森 1.0%

Polymarket

$10,881 交易量

Ben McAdams 48%

內特·布盧因 47%

凱瑟琳·裡貝 6.3%

珍妮·威爾森 1.0%

Polymarket

$10,881 交易量

Ben McAdams

$5,486 交易量

48%

內特·布盧因

$1,908 交易量

47%

凱瑟琳·裡貝

$0 交易量

6%

珍妮·威爾森

$0 交易量

1%

Brian King

$0 交易量

1%

盧茲·艾斯卡米拉

$0 交易量

1%

Erin Mendenhall

$3,486 交易量

1%

卡羅琳·格萊奇

$0 交易量

<1%

Kael Weston

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Utah's newly redrawn, Democratic-leaning 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin Democratic primary contest between former Rep. Ben McAdams at 47% implied probability and state Sen. Nate Blouin at 46.5%, driven by an ideological split between McAdams's centrist record and Blouin's progressive profile amid the June 23 primary. Recent town halls on March 10-12 highlighted shared left-leaning stances on taxing the wealthy, abolishing ICE, and criticizing Israel, yet Blouin's March 24 MSNBC appearance with Rachel Maddow—attacking McAdams over private prison ties and a new DHS facility—intensified progressive turnout signals and kept odds deadlocked. Separation could emerge from major endorsements, fundraising reports, or internal polls targeting Salt Lake County voters, with historical primaries favoring name recognition in low-turnout races.

In Utah's newly redrawn, Democratic-leaning 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin Democratic primary contest between former Rep. Ben McAdams at 47% implied probability and state Sen. Nate Blouin at 46.5%, driven by an ideological split between McAdams's centrist record and Blouin's progressive profile amid the June 23 primary. Recent town halls on March 10-12 highlighted shared left-leaning stances on taxing the wealthy, abolishing ICE, and criticizing Israel, yet Blouin's March 24 MSNBC appearance with Rachel Maddow—attacking McAdams over private prison ties and a new DHS facility—intensified progressive turnout signals and kept odds deadlocked. Separation could emerge from major endorsements, fundraising reports, or internal polls targeting Salt Lake County voters, with historical primaries favoring name recognition in low-turnout races.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Utah's newly redrawn, Democratic-leaning 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin Democratic primary contest between former Rep. Ben McAdams at 47% implied probability and state Sen. Nate Blouin at 46.5%, driven by an ideological split between McAdams's centrist record and Blouin's progressive profile amid the June 23 primary. Recent town halls on March 10-12 highlighted shared left-leaning stances on taxing the wealthy, abolishing ICE, and criticizing Israel, yet Blouin's March 24 MSNBC appearance with Rachel Maddow—attacking McAdams over private prison ties and a new DHS facility—intensified progressive turnout signals and kept odds deadlocked. Separation could emerge from major endorsements, fundraising reports, or internal polls targeting Salt Lake County voters, with historical primaries favoring name recognition in low-turnout races.

In Utah's newly redrawn, Democratic-leaning 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin Democratic primary contest between former Rep. Ben McAdams at 47% implied probability and state Sen. Nate Blouin at 46.5%, driven by an ideological split between McAdams's centrist record and Blouin's progressive profile amid the June 23 primary. Recent town halls on March 10-12 highlighted shared left-leaning stances on taxing the wealthy, abolishing ICE, and criticizing Israel, yet Blouin's March 24 MSNBC appearance with Rachel Maddow—attacking McAdams over private prison ties and a new DHS facility—intensified progressive turnout signals and kept odds deadlocked. Separation could emerge from major endorsements, fundraising reports, or internal polls targeting Salt Lake County voters, with historical primaries favoring name recognition in low-turnout races.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ben McAdams" at 48%, followed by "內特·布盧因" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $10.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Ben McAdams" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "內特·布盧因" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.