Amid the intensifying US-Iran conflict, the Trump administration delivered a 15-point ceasefire proposal to Tehran on March 24, sparking reports of potential high-level talks mediated by Oman, Egypt, or Pakistan in venues like Geneva or Islamabad. Iranian officials swiftly rejected negotiations, with the foreign minister denying any conversations on March 25 and Tehran ruling out talks on March 26 due to unmet US conditions, while issuing a counterproposal demanding reparations. Military escalations persist, including Houthi missile attacks claimed Saturday, as US officials like Marco Rubio signal expectations of war resolution soon. Traders monitor mediator progress and Trump's diplomatic signals for breakthrough potential before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$974,285 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
3月31日
6%
4月10日
19%
4月30日
45%
6月30日
79%
$974,285 交易量
3月31日
$619,006 交易量
6%
4月10日
$2,573 交易量
19%
4月30日
$90,456 交易量
45%
6月30日
$16,659 交易量
79%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the intensifying US-Iran conflict, the Trump administration delivered a 15-point ceasefire proposal to Tehran on March 24, sparking reports of potential high-level talks mediated by Oman, Egypt, or Pakistan in venues like Geneva or Islamabad. Iranian officials swiftly rejected negotiations, with the foreign minister denying any conversations on March 25 and Tehran ruling out talks on March 26 due to unmet US conditions, while issuing a counterproposal demanding reparations. Military escalations persist, including Houthi missile attacks claimed Saturday, as US officials like Marco Rubio signal expectations of war resolution soon. Traders monitor mediator progress and Trump's diplomatic signals for breakthrough potential before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
交易量
$974,285結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the intensifying US-Iran conflict, the Trump administration delivered a 15-point ceasefire proposal to Tehran on March 24, sparking reports of potential high-level talks mediated by Oman, Egypt, or Pakistan in venues like Geneva or Islamabad. Iranian officials swiftly rejected negotiations, with the foreign minister denying any conversations on March 25 and Tehran ruling out talks on March 26 due to unmet US conditions, while issuing a counterproposal demanding reparations. Military escalations persist, including Houthi missile attacks claimed Saturday, as US officials like Marco Rubio signal expectations of war resolution soon. Traders monitor mediator progress and Trump's diplomatic signals for breakthrough potential before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$974,285結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid the intensifying US-Iran conflict, the Trump administration delivered a 15-point ceasefire proposal to Tehran on March 24, sparking reports of potential high-level talks mediated by Oman, Egypt, or Pakistan in venues like Geneva or Islamabad. Iranian officials swiftly rejected negotiations, with the foreign minister denying any conversations on March 25 and Tehran ruling out talks on March 26 due to unmet US conditions, while issuing a counterproposal demanding reparations. Military escalations persist, including Houthi missile attacks claimed Saturday, as US officials like Marco Rubio signal expectations of war resolution soon. Traders monitor mediator progress and Trump's diplomatic signals for breakthrough potential before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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