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政治·特朗普

2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令？

Market icon
政治·特朗普

2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令？

12月 31

12月 31

是

13% 機率
Polymarket

$16,439 交易量

是

13% 機率
Polymarket

$16,439 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a mere 20% chance of a US Congress stock trading ban before 2027, reflecting persistent legislative gridlock in the 119th Congress despite bipartisan momentum. House Administration Committee advanced the Republican-led Stop Insider Trading Act in January on party lines, drawing Democratic criticism for loopholes insufficient to curb insider trading, while Rep. Haley Stevens' No Getting Rich in Congress Act and similar Democratic bills emerged in early March without floor votes. President Trump's March State of the Union call for action stalled amid narrow House majorities and self-interest concerns. Recent Roll Call reporting underscores failed momentum, with midterms and lame-duck session unlikely catalysts for passage.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$16,439
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a mere 20% chance of a US Congress stock trading ban before 2027, reflecting persistent legislative gridlock in the 119th Congress despite bipartisan momentum. House Administration Committee advanced the Republican-led Stop Insider Trading Act in January on party lines, drawing Democratic criticism for loopholes insufficient to curb insider trading, while Rep. Haley Stevens' No Getting Rich in Congress Act and similar Democratic bills emerged in early March without floor votes. President Trump's March State of the Union call for action stalled amid narrow House majorities and self-interest concerns. Recent Roll Call reporting underscores failed momentum, with midterms and lame-duck session unlikely catalysts for passage.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$16,439
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "美國國會在2027年前禁止股票交易？" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令？" has generated $16.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令？" is "美國國會在2027年前禁止股票交易？" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.