Trader sentiment on over 400 US flight cancellations on April 7 reflects a delicate balance amid forecasts of severe thunderstorms and low clouds in Northeast hubs like Boston Logan, New York, Philadelphia, and Washington, D.C., as noted in the FAA's April 3 air traffic report, compounded by high spring break volumes and TSA staffing shortages from prolonged government shutdown effects, with over 400 agents reportedly quitting and 40% callout rates. Recent disruptions—including a San Francisco Airport cargo fire on April 3, hundreds of cancellations at O'Hare, and nationwide storms causing 478 cancellations on March 7—heighten risks, but no confirmed major storm system targets April 7 yet. Updated weather models signaling widespread thunderstorms or escalating TSA delays could boost Yes odds, while clearing skies and stabilized staffing favor No.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-04-07
最新
最新
2026-04-07
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader sentiment on over 400 US flight cancellations on April 7 reflects a delicate balance amid forecasts of severe thunderstorms and low clouds in Northeast hubs like Boston Logan, New York, Philadelphia, and Washington, D.C., as noted in the FAA's April 3 air traffic report, compounded by high spring break volumes and TSA staffing shortages from prolonged government shutdown effects, with over 400 agents reportedly quitting and 40% callout rates. Recent disruptions—including a San Francisco Airport cargo fire on April 3, hundreds of cancellations at O'Hare, and nationwide storms causing 478 cancellations on March 7—heighten risks, but no confirmed major storm system targets April 7 yet. Updated weather models signaling widespread thunderstorms or escalating TSA delays could boost Yes odds, while clearing skies and stabilized staffing favor No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
市場開放時間： Apr 3, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
交易量
$9結束日期
2026-04-07市場開放時間
Apr 3, 2026, 7:27 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader sentiment on over 400 US flight cancellations on April 7 reflects a delicate balance amid forecasts of severe thunderstorms and low clouds in Northeast hubs like Boston Logan, New York, Philadelphia, and Washington, D.C., as noted in the FAA's April 3 air traffic report, compounded by high spring break volumes and TSA staffing shortages from prolonged government shutdown effects, with over 400 agents reportedly quitting and 40% callout rates. Recent disruptions—including a San Francisco Airport cargo fire on April 3, hundreds of cancellations at O'Hare, and nationwide storms causing 478 cancellations on March 7—heighten risks, but no confirmed major storm system targets April 7 yet. Updated weather models signaling widespread thunderstorms or escalating TSA delays could boost Yes odds, while clearing skies and stabilized staffing favor No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$9結束日期
2026-04-07市場開放時間
Apr 3, 2026, 7:27 PM ETTrader sentiment on over 400 US flight cancellations on April 7 reflects a delicate balance amid forecasts of severe thunderstorms and low clouds in Northeast hubs like Boston Logan, New York, Philadelphia, and Washington, D.C., as noted in the FAA's April 3 air traffic report, compounded by high spring break volumes and TSA staffing shortages from prolonged government shutdown effects, with over 400 agents reportedly quitting and 40% callout rates. Recent disruptions—including a San Francisco Airport cargo fire on April 3, hundreds of cancellations at O'Hare, and nationwide storms causing 478 cancellations on March 7—heighten risks, but no confirmed major storm system targets April 7 yet. Updated weather models signaling widespread thunderstorms or escalating TSA delays could boost Yes odds, while clearing skies and stabilized staffing favor No.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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