Amid escalating aerial warfare, Ukraine launched major drone strikes targeting Moscow over the past two weeks, including over 250 drones downed approaching the capital on March 16—Russia's largest reported interception in a year—and subsequent waves on March 17 and 25, with nearly 400 more neutralized amid fires in Moscow region and Leningrad Oblast. These follow Moscow's record 1,000-drone barrage on Ukraine March 23-24, signaling intensified mutual long-range attacks as Russia initiates its spring offensive. Trader consensus reflects Ukraine's advancing drone capabilities against layered Russian air defenses, with no verified major strikes inside Moscow city limits recently; further retaliatory actions or breakthroughs could shift probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$137,165 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
3月31日
4%
4月15日
9%
4月30日
18%
$137,165 交易量
3月31日
$20,998 交易量
4%
4月15日
$96 交易量
9%
4月30日
$0 交易量
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Amid escalating aerial warfare, Ukraine launched major drone strikes targeting Moscow over the past two weeks, including over 250 drones downed approaching the capital on March 16—Russia's largest reported interception in a year—and subsequent waves on March 17 and 25, with nearly 400 more neutralized amid fires in Moscow region and Leningrad Oblast. These follow Moscow's record 1,000-drone barrage on Ukraine March 23-24, signaling intensified mutual long-range attacks as Russia initiates its spring offensive. Trader consensus reflects Ukraine's advancing drone capabilities against layered Russian air defenses, with no verified major strikes inside Moscow city limits recently; further retaliatory actions or breakthroughs could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
市場開放時間： Mar 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
交易量
$137,165結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Amid escalating aerial warfare, Ukraine launched major drone strikes targeting Moscow over the past two weeks, including over 250 drones downed approaching the capital on March 16—Russia's largest reported interception in a year—and subsequent waves on March 17 and 25, with nearly 400 more neutralized amid fires in Moscow region and Leningrad Oblast. These follow Moscow's record 1,000-drone barrage on Ukraine March 23-24, signaling intensified mutual long-range attacks as Russia initiates its spring offensive. Trader consensus reflects Ukraine's advancing drone capabilities against layered Russian air defenses, with no verified major strikes inside Moscow city limits recently; further retaliatory actions or breakthroughs could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$137,165結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating aerial warfare, Ukraine launched major drone strikes targeting Moscow over the past two weeks, including over 250 drones downed approaching the capital on March 16—Russia's largest reported interception in a year—and subsequent waves on March 17 and 25, with nearly 400 more neutralized amid fires in Moscow region and Leningrad Oblast. These follow Moscow's record 1,000-drone barrage on Ukraine March 23-24, signaling intensified mutual long-range attacks as Russia initiates its spring offensive. Trader consensus reflects Ukraine's advancing drone capabilities against layered Russian air defenses, with no verified major strikes inside Moscow city limits recently; further retaliatory actions or breakthroughs could shift probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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