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政治·主要

TX-30共和黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

TX-30共和黨初選獲勝者

Everett Jackson 74.9%

Sholdon Daniels 25%

Nils Walker 3.6%

Gregor Heise <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Everett Jackson 74.9%

Sholdon Daniels 25%

Nils Walker 3.6%

Gregor Heise <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Everett Jackson

$0 交易量

63%

Sholdon Daniels

$8,736 交易量

25%

Nils Walker

$0 交易量

4%

Gregor Heise

$0 交易量

9%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Everett Jackson leads trader consensus at 70.8% implied probability for the TX-30 Republican primary, driven by his top position in recent polls like the UH Survey Research showing him ahead by double digits and superior fundraising exceeding $300,000, outpacing rivals. Sholdon Daniels holds 24.5% after gaining traction with grassroots support and a recent debate appearance highlighting his military background, narrowing the gap slightly. Gregor Heise and Nils Walker linger at 4.2% and 3.6% respectively, hampered by minimal name recognition and resources in this Dallas-Fort Worth battleground district. Early voting through February 26 could sway turnout among conservative voters ahead of Super Tuesday on March 5, though Jackson's endorsements from local GOP figures solidify his frontrunner status.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$8,736
結束日期
May 26, 2026
市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Everett Jackson leads trader consensus at 70.8% implied probability for the TX-30 Republican primary, driven by his top position in recent polls like the UH Survey Research showing him ahead by double digits and superior fundraising exceeding $300,000, outpacing rivals. Sholdon Daniels holds 24.5% after gaining traction with grassroots support and a recent debate appearance highlighting his military background, narrowing the gap slightly. Gregor Heise and Nils Walker linger at 4.2% and 3.6% respectively, hampered by minimal name recognition and resources in this Dallas-Fort Worth battleground district. Early voting through February 26 could sway turnout among conservative voters ahead of Super Tuesday on March 5, though Jackson's endorsements from local GOP figures solidify his frontrunner status.

Everett Jackson leads trader consensus at 70.8% implied probability for the TX-30 Republican primary, driven by his top position in recent polls like the UH Survey Research showing him ahead by double digits and superior fundraising exceeding $300,000, outpacing rivals. Sholdon Daniels holds 24.5% after gaining traction with grassroots support and a recent debate appearance highlighting his military background, narrowing the gap slightly. Gregor Heise and Nils Walker linger at 4.2% and 3.6% respectively, hampered by minimal name recognition and resources in this Dallas-Fort Worth battleground district. Early voting through February 26 could sway turnout among conservative voters ahead of Super Tuesday on March 5, though Jackson's endorsements from local GOP figures solidify his frontrunner status.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"TX-30共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Everett Jackson" at 63%, followed by "Sholdon Daniels" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"TX-30共和黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 18, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "TX-30共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "TX-30共和黨初選獲勝者" is "Everett Jackson" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sholdon Daniels" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "TX-30共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.