Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 80-85% turnout in Denmark's 2026 Folketing election, reflecting historical patterns where recent votes averaged 84-86%: 84.1% in 2022, 84.6% in 2019, and 85.3% in 2015. Denmark's proportional representation system and strong civic engagement norms sustain high participation, with no major shifts in voter behavior evident from current polls or political stability under Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's government. This skin-in-the-game pricing discounts outliers, as the next election—expected by fall 2026 but callable earlier—shows steady polling without galvanizing issues. Realistic challenges include economic downturns fostering apathy below 80% or intense polarization pushing above 90%, though base rates suggest persistence near recent norms.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於80–85% 100.0%
<80% <1%
85–90% <1%
90%+ <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
<80%
No
80–85%
Yes
85–90%
No
90%+
No
80–85% 100.0%
<80% <1%
85–90% <1%
90%+ <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
<80%
No
80–85%
Yes
85–90%
No
90%+
No
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Danish General Election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. The turnout rate shall be based solely on the results from Denmark proper, excluding the results and eligible voter counts from Greenland and the Faroe Islands.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Danish Government, specifically Statistics Denmark (https://www.dst.dk/) and Valg (https://www.valg.dk/).
市場開放時間: Mar 13, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Danish General Election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. The turnout rate shall be based solely on the results from Denmark proper, excluding the results and eligible voter counts from Greenland and the Faroe Islands.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Danish Government, specifically Statistics Denmark (https://www.dst.dk/) and Valg (https://www.valg.dk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 80-85% turnout in Denmark's 2026 Folketing election, reflecting historical patterns where recent votes averaged 84-86%: 84.1% in 2022, 84.6% in 2019, and 85.3% in 2015. Denmark's proportional representation system and strong civic engagement norms sustain high participation, with no major shifts in voter behavior evident from current polls or political stability under Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's government. This skin-in-the-game pricing discounts outliers, as the next election—expected by fall 2026 but callable earlier—shows steady polling without galvanizing issues. Realistic challenges include economic downturns fostering apathy below 80% or intense polarization pushing above 90%, though base rates suggest persistence near recent norms.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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