Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott dominated Texas' March 3 Republican primary with 82% of the vote, securing nomination for a fourth term against Democratic state Rep. Gina Hinojosa, who captured 60% in her primary. Recent polls drive trader consensus at 82.5% for Republican victory, including University of Houston (Abbott 49%, Hinojosa 42%) and UT Tyler (Abbott 49%, Hinojosa 41%), averaging an 8-point edge amid Abbott's 51% favorability. Texas' GOP stronghold—no Democratic governor since 1994—and historical double-digit Republican wins underpin the pricing, despite one Democratic poll showing a tie in a Trump-won district. Campaign momentum and voter turnout will shape the November 3 contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
81%
Democrat
17%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$2,649 交易量
81%
Democrat
$3,252 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott dominated Texas' March 3 Republican primary with 82% of the vote, securing nomination for a fourth term against Democratic state Rep. Gina Hinojosa, who captured 60% in her primary. Recent polls drive trader consensus at 82.5% for Republican victory, including University of Houston (Abbott 49%, Hinojosa 42%) and UT Tyler (Abbott 49%, Hinojosa 41%), averaging an 8-point edge amid Abbott's 51% favorability. Texas' GOP stronghold—no Democratic governor since 1994—and historical double-digit Republican wins underpin the pricing, despite one Democratic poll showing a tie in a Trump-won district. Campaign momentum and voter turnout will shape the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$5,901結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott dominated Texas' March 3 Republican primary with 82% of the vote, securing nomination for a fourth term against Democratic state Rep. Gina Hinojosa, who captured 60% in her primary. Recent polls drive trader consensus at 82.5% for Republican victory, including University of Houston (Abbott 49%, Hinojosa 42%) and UT Tyler (Abbott 49%, Hinojosa 41%), averaging an 8-point edge amid Abbott's 51% favorability. Texas' GOP stronghold—no Democratic governor since 1994—and historical double-digit Republican wins underpin the pricing, despite one Democratic poll showing a tie in a Trump-won district. Campaign momentum and voter turnout will shape the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$5,901結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott dominated Texas' March 3 Republican primary with 82% of the vote, securing nomination for a fourth term against Democratic state Rep. Gina Hinojosa, who captured 60% in her primary. Recent polls drive trader consensus at 82.5% for Republican victory, including University of Houston (Abbott 49%, Hinojosa 42%) and UT Tyler (Abbott 49%, Hinojosa 41%), averaging an 8-point edge amid Abbott's 51% favorability. Texas' GOP stronghold—no Democratic governor since 1994—and historical double-digit Republican wins underpin the pricing, despite one Democratic poll showing a tie in a Trump-won district. Campaign momentum and voter turnout will shape the November 3 contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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