Market icon
政治·美國大選

2028年共和黨總統提名人

Market icon
政治·美國大選

2028年共和黨總統提名人

J.D. Vance 36.5%

馬可·魯比奧 21.6%

塔克·卡爾森 4.6%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯 2.7%

Polymarket

$503,822,096 交易量

J.D. Vance 36.5%

馬可·魯比奧 21.6%

塔克·卡爾森 4.6%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯 2.7%

Polymarket

$503,822,096 交易量

Market icon

J.D. Vance

$7,934,254 交易量

37%

Market icon

馬可·魯比奧

$6,778,019 交易量

22%

Market icon

塔克·卡爾森

$7,327,685 交易量

5%

Market icon

羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$8,817,925 交易量

3%

Market icon

唐納德·川普

$6,480,271 交易量

2%

Market icon

格倫·楊金

$5,665,220 交易量

2%

Market icon

托馬斯·馬西

$2,844,351 交易量

2%

Market icon

唐納·川普二世

$6,003,782 交易量

2%

Market icon

蘭德·保羅

$16,168,100 交易量

1%

Market icon

維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

$12,916,239 交易量

1%

Market icon

伊萬卡·特朗普

$5,449,882 交易量

1%

Market icon

圖爾西·加巴德

$9,900,089 交易量

1%

Market icon

Greg Abbott

$17,578,697 交易量

1%

Market icon

泰德·克魯茲

$14,613,096 交易量

1%

Market icon

伊隆·馬斯克

$22,087,268 交易量

1%

Market icon

瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

$4,070,245 交易量

1%

Market icon

妮基·黑利

$7,441,891 交易量

1%

Market icon

羅伯特·F·甘迺迪二世

$11,128,846 交易量

1%

Market icon

Eric Trump

$4,251,386 交易量

1%

Market icon

莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$28,253,208 交易量

1%

Market icon

布萊恩·坎普

$13,139,784 交易量

1%

Market icon

湯姆·布雷迪

$28,655,047 交易量

1%

Market icon

馬特·蓋茨

$15,373,234 交易量

1%

Market icon

金·卡戴珊

$23,577,852 交易量

1%

Market icon

皮特·赫格塞思

$1,981,629 交易量

1%

Market icon

伊莉絲·斯特凡尼克

$21,962,872 交易量

1%

Market icon

喬什·霍利

$15,956,032 交易量

1%

Market icon

凱蒂·布瑞特

$24,535,502 交易量

1%

Market icon

約翰·圖恩

$29,314,427 交易量

1%

Market icon

克里斯蒂·諾姆

$28,519,764 交易量

1%

Market icon

喬·肯特

$2,023,906 交易量

1%

Market icon

史蒂夫·班農

$15,012,578 交易量

1%

Market icon

拜倫·唐納茲

$33,590,104 交易量

1%

Market icon

Erika Kirk

$11,248,715 交易量

1%

Market icon

邁克·彭斯

$33,223,147 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the narrow frontrunner at 49% for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, driven by a dramatic 44-point surge in his shares over the past 24 hours on $7 million in volume, likely reflecting bets on his high-profile HHS secretary role and Make America Healthy Again agenda appealing to new GOP voters amid a Politico poll showing MAHA dissatisfaction with progress. J.D. Vance trails at 36.5% as sitting vice president with strong CPAC (53%) and Emerson New Hampshire (43%) primary leads, but faces headwinds from Trump's 41% approval, foreign policy critiques including Iran military operations (43% approval), and reports of donors preferring alternatives. Marco Rubio's 21.6% reflects rising momentum from Trump privately polling big donors who favored him over Vance, highlighting a competitive early primary field ahead of 2026 midterms.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$503,822,096
結束日期
2028-11-07
市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the narrow frontrunner at 49% for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, driven by a dramatic 44-point surge in his shares over the past 24 hours on $7 million in volume, likely reflecting bets on his high-profile HHS secretary role and Make America Healthy Again agenda appealing to new GOP voters amid a Politico poll showing MAHA dissatisfaction with progress. J.D. Vance trails at 36.5% as sitting vice president with strong CPAC (53%) and Emerson New Hampshire (43%) primary leads, but faces headwinds from Trump's 41% approval, foreign policy critiques including Iran military operations (43% approval), and reports of donors preferring alternatives. Marco Rubio's 21.6% reflects rising momentum from Trump privately polling big donors who favored him over Vance, highlighting a competitive early primary field ahead of 2026 midterms.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$503,822,096
結束日期
2028-11-07
市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年共和黨總統提名人" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, followed by "馬可·魯比奧" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年共和黨總統提名人" has generated $503.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年共和黨總統提名人," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年共和黨總統提名人" is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "馬可·魯比奧" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年共和黨總統提名人" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.