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政治·美國大選

2028年共和黨總統提名人

Market icon
政治·美國大選

2028年共和黨總統提名人

J.D. Vance 36.5%

馬可·魯比奧 21.6%

塔克·卡爾森 4.7%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯 2.6%

Polymarket

$503,916,284 交易量

J.D. Vance 36.5%

馬可·魯比奧 21.6%

塔克·卡爾森 4.7%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯 2.6%

Polymarket

$503,916,284 交易量

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J.D. Vance

$7,949,132 交易量

37%

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馬可·魯比奧

$6,778,143 交易量

22%

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塔克·卡爾森

$7,328,013 交易量

5%

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羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$8,820,120 交易量

3%

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唐納德·川普

$6,480,800 交易量

2%

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格倫·楊金

$5,667,656 交易量

2%

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托馬斯·馬西

$2,846,666 交易量

2%

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唐納·川普二世

$6,003,782 交易量

2%

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蘭德·保羅

$16,168,690 交易量

1%

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維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

$12,916,439 交易量

1%

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伊萬卡·特朗普

$5,450,107 交易量

1%

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圖爾西·加巴德

$9,918,746 交易量

1%

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Greg Abbott

$17,578,812 交易量

1%

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泰德·克魯茲

$14,615,574 交易量

1%

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伊隆·馬斯克

$22,087,354 交易量

1%

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瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

$4,071,361 交易量

1%

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妮基·黑利

$7,441,891 交易量

1%

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羅伯特·F·甘迺迪二世

$11,132,254 交易量

1%

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Eric Trump

$4,256,180 交易量

1%

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莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$28,254,992 交易量

1%

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布萊恩·坎普

$13,140,455 交易量

1%

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湯姆·布雷迪

$28,659,468 交易量

1%

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馬特·蓋茨

$15,373,909 交易量

1%

Market icon

金·卡戴珊

$23,579,158 交易量

1%

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皮特·赫格塞思

$1,983,307 交易量

1%

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伊莉絲·斯特凡尼克

$21,966,375 交易量

1%

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喬什·霍利

$15,957,398 交易量

1%

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凱蒂·布瑞特

$24,538,794 交易量

1%

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約翰·圖恩

$29,316,699 交易量

1%

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克里斯蒂·諾姆

$28,520,854 交易量

1%

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喬·肯特

$2,025,686 交易量

1%

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史蒂夫·班農

$15,017,083 交易量

1%

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拜倫·唐納茲

$33,594,284 交易量

1%

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Erika Kirk

$11,252,266 交易量

1%

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邁克·彭斯

$33,227,063 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, propelled by his tenure as HHS Secretary spearheading Make America Healthy Again reforms, including slashed child vaccine recommendations, new dietary guidelines emphasizing whole foods, and battles against processed foods and Big Pharma—moves resonating with the GOP base despite his independent roots and past Trump endorsement. Vice President J.D. Vance follows at 36.5%, buoyed by heir-apparent positioning and President Trump's praise, though recent New Hampshire primary polling shows slippage amid 2026 midterm pressures. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 21.6% reflects rising donor interest and foreign policy elevation via Iran tensions and diplomatic maneuvers, positioning him as a Vance alternative ahead of open primaries post-Trump term limits.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$503,916,284
結束日期
2028-11-07
市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, propelled by his tenure as HHS Secretary spearheading Make America Healthy Again reforms, including slashed child vaccine recommendations, new dietary guidelines emphasizing whole foods, and battles against processed foods and Big Pharma—moves resonating with the GOP base despite his independent roots and past Trump endorsement. Vice President J.D. Vance follows at 36.5%, buoyed by heir-apparent positioning and President Trump's praise, though recent New Hampshire primary polling shows slippage amid 2026 midterm pressures. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 21.6% reflects rising donor interest and foreign policy elevation via Iran tensions and diplomatic maneuvers, positioning him as a Vance alternative ahead of open primaries post-Trump term limits.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$503,916,284
結束日期
2028-11-07
市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年共和黨總統提名人" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, followed by "馬可·魯比奧" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年共和黨總統提名人" has generated $503.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年共和黨總統提名人," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年共和黨總統提名人" is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "馬可·魯比奧" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年共和黨總統提名人" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.