Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 66% implied probability to the $2.25–$2.50 bracket for March 2026 U.S. city average retail price of Grade A large eggs, reflecting sustained downward momentum from February's $2.50 Bureau of Labor Statistics print. This positioning stems from sharply lower wholesale prices—national loose large shell eggs at $0.46 per dozen per the April 3 USDA report, down over 85% year-over-year—driven by flock restocking and reduced avian influenza outbreaks, easing prior supply constraints. Adequate inventories and moderate pre-Easter demand further pressured pricing, with conventional ad averages at $1.61 per dozen. The BLS March data release on April 10 will confirm the outcome, amid low volatility in leading indicators.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$2.25–2.50 66%
$2.50–2.75 19%
$2.00–2.25 6.6%
<$2.00 1.8%
$397,862 交易量
$397,862 交易量
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
7%
$2.25–2.50
66%
$2.50–2.75
19%
$2.75–3.00
2%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
$2.25–2.50 66%
$2.50–2.75 19%
$2.00–2.25 6.6%
<$2.00 1.8%
$397,862 交易量
$397,862 交易量
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
7%
$2.25–2.50
66%
$2.50–2.75
19%
$2.75–3.00
2%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
市場開放時間: Mar 11, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 66% implied probability to the $2.25–$2.50 bracket for March 2026 U.S. city average retail price of Grade A large eggs, reflecting sustained downward momentum from February's $2.50 Bureau of Labor Statistics print. This positioning stems from sharply lower wholesale prices—national loose large shell eggs at $0.46 per dozen per the April 3 USDA report, down over 85% year-over-year—driven by flock restocking and reduced avian influenza outbreaks, easing prior supply constraints. Adequate inventories and moderate pre-Easter demand further pressured pricing, with conventional ad averages at $1.61 per dozen. The BLS March data release on April 10 will confirm the outcome, amid low volatility in leading indicators.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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