Trader consensus in the PA-10 House race favors the Democratic Party at 69.5% implied probability, driven by former news anchor Janelle Stelson's strong positioning as the presumptive Democratic nominee against incumbent Republican Scott Perry in their 2026 rematch. Stelson, who narrowly lost by one point in 2024, leads recent polls like a December 2025 survey showing her ahead 48-44% amid Perry's underwater job approval ratings; both raised over $2 million last year. Forecasters rate the district competitive, with the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting Perry as vulnerable via its Red to Blue program announced February 23. The May 19 closed primary will finalize nominees ahead of the November general election, with independents potentially pivotal in this battleground encompassing Dauphin, Cumberland, and northern York counties.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
70%
Republican Party
31%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$0 交易量
70%
Republican Party
$0 交易量
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the PA-10 House race favors the Democratic Party at 69.5% implied probability, driven by former news anchor Janelle Stelson's strong positioning as the presumptive Democratic nominee against incumbent Republican Scott Perry in their 2026 rematch. Stelson, who narrowly lost by one point in 2024, leads recent polls like a December 2025 survey showing her ahead 48-44% amid Perry's underwater job approval ratings; both raised over $2 million last year. Forecasters rate the district competitive, with the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting Perry as vulnerable via its Red to Blue program announced February 23. The May 19 closed primary will finalize nominees ahead of the November general election, with independents potentially pivotal in this battleground encompassing Dauphin, Cumberland, and northern York counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 4, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the PA-10 House race favors the Democratic Party at 69.5% implied probability, driven by former news anchor Janelle Stelson's strong positioning as the presumptive Democratic nominee against incumbent Republican Scott Perry in their 2026 rematch. Stelson, who narrowly lost by one point in 2024, leads recent polls like a December 2025 survey showing her ahead 48-44% amid Perry's underwater job approval ratings; both raised over $2 million last year. Forecasters rate the district competitive, with the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting Perry as vulnerable via its Red to Blue program announced February 23. The May 19 closed primary will finalize nominees ahead of the November general election, with independents potentially pivotal in this battleground encompassing Dauphin, Cumberland, and northern York counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 4, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the PA-10 House race favors the Democratic Party at 69.5% implied probability, driven by former news anchor Janelle Stelson's strong positioning as the presumptive Democratic nominee against incumbent Republican Scott Perry in their 2026 rematch. Stelson, who narrowly lost by one point in 2024, leads recent polls like a December 2025 survey showing her ahead 48-44% amid Perry's underwater job approval ratings; both raised over $2 million last year. Forecasters rate the district competitive, with the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting Perry as vulnerable via its Red to Blue program announced February 23. The May 19 closed primary will finalize nominees ahead of the November general election, with independents potentially pivotal in this battleground encompassing Dauphin, Cumberland, and northern York counties.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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