Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary with a clear majority in the 18th District, facing Republican Shane Lewis in November. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent historical results, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Lofgren's long tenure, fundraising edge, and absence of significant primary or general election challengers have reinforced this positioning. Forecasters rate the race as solidly Democratic. Factors that could shift the outcome include late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health concerns, or an unforeseen national political shift altering turnout patterns in this heavily Democratic district.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$39,788 交易量
$39,788 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
96%
共和黨
3%
$39,788 交易量
$39,788 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$20,583 交易量
96%
共和黨
$19,206 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary with a clear majority in the 18th District, facing Republican Shane Lewis in November. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent historical results, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Lofgren's long tenure, fundraising edge, and absence of significant primary or general election challengers have reinforced this positioning. Forecasters rate the race as solidly Democratic. Factors that could shift the outcome include late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health concerns, or an unforeseen national political shift altering turnout patterns in this heavily Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$39,788結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary with a clear majority in the 18th District, facing Republican Shane Lewis in November. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent historical results, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Lofgren's long tenure, fundraising edge, and absence of significant primary or general election challengers have reinforced this positioning. Forecasters rate the race as solidly Democratic. Factors that could shift the outcome include late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health concerns, or an unforeseen national political shift altering turnout patterns in this heavily Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$39,788結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary with a clear majority in the 18th District, facing Republican Shane Lewis in November. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent historical results, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Lofgren's long tenure, fundraising edge, and absence of significant primary or general election challengers have reinforced this positioning. Forecasters rate the race as solidly Democratic. Factors that could shift the outcome include late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health concerns, or an unforeseen national political shift altering turnout patterns in this heavily Democratic district.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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