Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91% to retain New York's 6th congressional district, driven by longtime incumbent Rep. Grace Meng's commanding position in the safely Democratic Queens-based seat, which features a large Asian American electorate where she made history as the first woman of Asian descent elected to Congress. Recent endorsements from State Sen. Julia Salazar on March 18 and retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez last week have bolstered Meng ahead of the June 23 closed Democratic primary against progressive challenger Chuck Park, despite Working Families Party interest in the latter. No credible Republican has emerged for the November 3 general election, aligning with the district's strong Democratic baseline. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise, Meng scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans, though structural advantages make these low-probability scenarios.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
$2,619 交易量
91%
Republican Party
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91% to retain New York's 6th congressional district, driven by longtime incumbent Rep. Grace Meng's commanding position in the safely Democratic Queens-based seat, which features a large Asian American electorate where she made history as the first woman of Asian descent elected to Congress. Recent endorsements from State Sen. Julia Salazar on March 18 and retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez last week have bolstered Meng ahead of the June 23 closed Democratic primary against progressive challenger Chuck Park, despite Working Families Party interest in the latter. No credible Republican has emerged for the November 3 general election, aligning with the district's strong Democratic baseline. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise, Meng scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans, though structural advantages make these low-probability scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$2,619結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91% to retain New York's 6th congressional district, driven by longtime incumbent Rep. Grace Meng's commanding position in the safely Democratic Queens-based seat, which features a large Asian American electorate where she made history as the first woman of Asian descent elected to Congress. Recent endorsements from State Sen. Julia Salazar on March 18 and retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez last week have bolstered Meng ahead of the June 23 closed Democratic primary against progressive challenger Chuck Park, despite Working Families Party interest in the latter. No credible Republican has emerged for the November 3 general election, aligning with the district's strong Democratic baseline. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise, Meng scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans, though structural advantages make these low-probability scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,619結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91% to retain New York's 6th congressional district, driven by longtime incumbent Rep. Grace Meng's commanding position in the safely Democratic Queens-based seat, which features a large Asian American electorate where she made history as the first woman of Asian descent elected to Congress. Recent endorsements from State Sen. Julia Salazar on March 18 and retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez last week have bolstered Meng ahead of the June 23 closed Democratic primary against progressive challenger Chuck Park, despite Working Families Party interest in the latter. No credible Republican has emerged for the November 3 general election, aligning with the district's strong Democratic baseline. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise, Meng scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans, though structural advantages make these low-probability scenarios.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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