Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic Party at 50% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District House seat, ahead of Republicans at 30.5%, reflecting heightened vulnerability for incumbent Rep. Rob Bresnahan (R) amid a fresh stock trading controversy. Unearthed audio from March 10 revealed contradictions in his denials of personal involvement in trades, despite campaigning to ban congressional stock trading; former GOP Rep. Jim Greenwood called for his resignation on March 11, while Democratic nominee Paige Cognetti accused him of public corruption. In this R+4 Cook PVI battleground spanning Scranton and Wilkes-Barre—where Bresnahan narrowly won 50.8% in 2024—Gov. Josh Shapiro's February endorsement bolsters Cognetti ahead of the May 19 primary, underscoring the closely contested race dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主黨
41%
共和黨
31%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主黨
$0 交易量
41%
共和黨
$0 交易量
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic Party at 50% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District House seat, ahead of Republicans at 30.5%, reflecting heightened vulnerability for incumbent Rep. Rob Bresnahan (R) amid a fresh stock trading controversy. Unearthed audio from March 10 revealed contradictions in his denials of personal involvement in trades, despite campaigning to ban congressional stock trading; former GOP Rep. Jim Greenwood called for his resignation on March 11, while Democratic nominee Paige Cognetti accused him of public corruption. In this R+4 Cook PVI battleground spanning Scranton and Wilkes-Barre—where Bresnahan narrowly won 50.8% in 2024—Gov. Josh Shapiro's February endorsement bolsters Cognetti ahead of the May 19 primary, underscoring the closely contested race dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 4, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic Party at 50% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District House seat, ahead of Republicans at 30.5%, reflecting heightened vulnerability for incumbent Rep. Rob Bresnahan (R) amid a fresh stock trading controversy. Unearthed audio from March 10 revealed contradictions in his denials of personal involvement in trades, despite campaigning to ban congressional stock trading; former GOP Rep. Jim Greenwood called for his resignation on March 11, while Democratic nominee Paige Cognetti accused him of public corruption. In this R+4 Cook PVI battleground spanning Scranton and Wilkes-Barre—where Bresnahan narrowly won 50.8% in 2024—Gov. Josh Shapiro's February endorsement bolsters Cognetti ahead of the May 19 primary, underscoring the closely contested race dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 4, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic Party at 50% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District House seat, ahead of Republicans at 30.5%, reflecting heightened vulnerability for incumbent Rep. Rob Bresnahan (R) amid a fresh stock trading controversy. Unearthed audio from March 10 revealed contradictions in his denials of personal involvement in trades, despite campaigning to ban congressional stock trading; former GOP Rep. Jim Greenwood called for his resignation on March 11, while Democratic nominee Paige Cognetti accused him of public corruption. In this R+4 Cook PVI battleground spanning Scranton and Wilkes-Barre—where Bresnahan narrowly won 50.8% in 2024—Gov. Josh Shapiro's February endorsement bolsters Cognetti ahead of the May 19 primary, underscoring the closely contested race dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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