Incumbent Rep. Madeleine Dean's strong reelection prospects in Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report, underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91% to win the November 2026 general election. The district's partisan lean, encompassing suburban Montgomery and Berks counties near Philadelphia, has consistently delivered comfortable Democratic margins, as evidenced by Dean's decisive 2024 victory over Republican David Winkler. With primaries set for May 19, 2026, no credible GOP challengers have emerged to alter dynamics, reinforcing the safe seat status amid Dean's fundraising edge and committee roles. Upsets remain possible via a post-primary Republican heavyweight recruit, unforeseen scandal, or overwhelming national midterm wave favoring the GOP.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$0 交易量
91%
Republican Party
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Madeleine Dean's strong reelection prospects in Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report, underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91% to win the November 2026 general election. The district's partisan lean, encompassing suburban Montgomery and Berks counties near Philadelphia, has consistently delivered comfortable Democratic margins, as evidenced by Dean's decisive 2024 victory over Republican David Winkler. With primaries set for May 19, 2026, no credible GOP challengers have emerged to alter dynamics, reinforcing the safe seat status amid Dean's fundraising edge and committee roles. Upsets remain possible via a post-primary Republican heavyweight recruit, unforeseen scandal, or overwhelming national midterm wave favoring the GOP.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Madeleine Dean's strong reelection prospects in Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report, underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91% to win the November 2026 general election. The district's partisan lean, encompassing suburban Montgomery and Berks counties near Philadelphia, has consistently delivered comfortable Democratic margins, as evidenced by Dean's decisive 2024 victory over Republican David Winkler. With primaries set for May 19, 2026, no credible GOP challengers have emerged to alter dynamics, reinforcing the safe seat status amid Dean's fundraising edge and committee roles. Upsets remain possible via a post-primary Republican heavyweight recruit, unforeseen scandal, or overwhelming national midterm wave favoring the GOP.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Madeleine Dean's strong reelection prospects in Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report, underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91% to win the November 2026 general election. The district's partisan lean, encompassing suburban Montgomery and Berks counties near Philadelphia, has consistently delivered comfortable Democratic margins, as evidenced by Dean's decisive 2024 victory over Republican David Winkler. With primaries set for May 19, 2026, no credible GOP challengers have emerged to alter dynamics, reinforcing the safe seat status amid Dean's fundraising edge and committee roles. Upsets remain possible via a post-primary Republican heavyweight recruit, unforeseen scandal, or overwhelming national midterm wave favoring the GOP.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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