Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report with a strong partisan lean favoring Democrats, drives trader consensus toward a 94% implied probability for the Democratic Party in the open-seat House race. Incumbent Rep. Dwight Evans announced his retirement in June 2025, sparking a crowded Democratic primary now narrowed to eight candidates—including frontrunners Sharif Street and Ala Stanford—as of March 19 developments like dropouts and endorsements. The Republican field remains weak with minimal challengers, underscoring the district's heavy Democratic voter registration in Philadelphia areas. The May 19 primary will select the Democratic nominee, heavily favored for November 3 victory absent a major GOP recruitment surge, nominee scandal, or national Republican midterm wave.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
94%
共和黨
6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
$0 交易量
94%
共和黨
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report with a strong partisan lean favoring Democrats, drives trader consensus toward a 94% implied probability for the Democratic Party in the open-seat House race. Incumbent Rep. Dwight Evans announced his retirement in June 2025, sparking a crowded Democratic primary now narrowed to eight candidates—including frontrunners Sharif Street and Ala Stanford—as of March 19 developments like dropouts and endorsements. The Republican field remains weak with minimal challengers, underscoring the district's heavy Democratic voter registration in Philadelphia areas. The May 19 primary will select the Democratic nominee, heavily favored for November 3 victory absent a major GOP recruitment surge, nominee scandal, or national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report with a strong partisan lean favoring Democrats, drives trader consensus toward a 94% implied probability for the Democratic Party in the open-seat House race. Incumbent Rep. Dwight Evans announced his retirement in June 2025, sparking a crowded Democratic primary now narrowed to eight candidates—including frontrunners Sharif Street and Ala Stanford—as of March 19 developments like dropouts and endorsements. The Republican field remains weak with minimal challengers, underscoring the district's heavy Democratic voter registration in Philadelphia areas. The May 19 primary will select the Democratic nominee, heavily favored for November 3 victory absent a major GOP recruitment surge, nominee scandal, or national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report with a strong partisan lean favoring Democrats, drives trader consensus toward a 94% implied probability for the Democratic Party in the open-seat House race. Incumbent Rep. Dwight Evans announced his retirement in June 2025, sparking a crowded Democratic primary now narrowed to eight candidates—including frontrunners Sharif Street and Ala Stanford—as of March 19 developments like dropouts and endorsements. The Republican field remains weak with minimal challengers, underscoring the district's heavy Democratic voter registration in Philadelphia areas. The May 19 primary will select the Democratic nominee, heavily favored for November 3 victory absent a major GOP recruitment surge, nominee scandal, or national Republican midterm wave.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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