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政治·主要

俄勒岡州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

俄勒岡州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

克莉絲汀·德拉贊 37%

Ed Diehl 31%

克里斯·達德利 16%

丹妮爾·貝瑟爾 5.6%

Polymarket

$31,441 交易量

克莉絲汀·德拉贊 37%

Ed Diehl 31%

克里斯·達德利 16%

丹妮爾·貝瑟爾 5.6%

Polymarket

$31,441 交易量

克莉絲汀·德拉贊

$14,618 交易量

37%

Ed Diehl

$0 交易量

36%

克里斯·達德利

$8,023 交易量

21%

丹妮爾·貝瑟爾

$0 交易量

6%

凱爾·杜伊克

$8,799 交易量

4%

蔡爾·索能

$0 交易量

4%

羅伯特·紐曼

$0 交易量

3%

Caleb Kintz

$0 交易量

<1%

布拉德·T·彼得斯

$0 交易量

<1%

大衛·梅迪納

$0 交易量

<1%

派翠克·柯普克-海爾斯

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Rep. Ed Diehl holds a slim edge over Christine Drazan in trader consensus for the May 19 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting momentum from a March Predict Oregon survey of Republicans where Diehl led with 66% among informed voters, fueled by his role leading the No Tax Oregon referendum that gathered 250,000 signatures against a 2025 transportation tax hike. Drazan, the 2022 nominee who narrowly lost the general election, maintains strong name recognition and leads early fundraising alongside Chris Dudley, the 2010 nominee, keeping the multicandidate field fragmented and probabilities tightly bunched. Consolidation via endorsements, additional debates, or ad blitzes before early voting could tip the balance in this closely contested race.

State Rep. Ed Diehl holds a slim edge over Christine Drazan in trader consensus for the May 19 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting momentum from a March Predict Oregon survey of Republicans where Diehl led with 66% among informed voters, fueled by his role leading the No Tax Oregon referendum that gathered 250,000 signatures against a 2025 transportation tax hike. Drazan, the 2022 nominee who narrowly lost the general election, maintains strong name recognition and leads early fundraising alongside Chris Dudley, the 2010 nominee, keeping the multicandidate field fragmented and probabilities tightly bunched. Consolidation via endorsements, additional debates, or ad blitzes before early voting could tip the balance in this closely contested race.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Rep. Ed Diehl holds a slim edge over Christine Drazan in trader consensus for the May 19 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting momentum from a March Predict Oregon survey of Republicans where Diehl led with 66% among informed voters, fueled by his role leading the No Tax Oregon referendum that gathered 250,000 signatures against a 2025 transportation tax hike. Drazan, the 2022 nominee who narrowly lost the general election, maintains strong name recognition and leads early fundraising alongside Chris Dudley, the 2010 nominee, keeping the multicandidate field fragmented and probabilities tightly bunched. Consolidation via endorsements, additional debates, or ad blitzes before early voting could tip the balance in this closely contested race.

State Rep. Ed Diehl holds a slim edge over Christine Drazan in trader consensus for the May 19 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting momentum from a March Predict Oregon survey of Republicans where Diehl led with 66% among informed voters, fueled by his role leading the No Tax Oregon referendum that gathered 250,000 signatures against a 2025 transportation tax hike. Drazan, the 2022 nominee who narrowly lost the general election, maintains strong name recognition and leads early fundraising alongside Chris Dudley, the 2010 nominee, keeping the multicandidate field fragmented and probabilities tightly bunched. Consolidation via endorsements, additional debates, or ad blitzes before early voting could tip the balance in this closely contested race.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"俄勒岡州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "克莉絲汀·德拉贊" at 37%, followed by "Ed Diehl" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "俄勒岡州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $31.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "俄勒岡州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "俄勒岡州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is "克莉絲汀·德拉贊" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ed Diehl" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "俄勒岡州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.