Incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty (D) commands trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability to win Ohio's 3rd Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's deep Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+24), her history of double-digit victories including 74% in 2022, strong fundraising advantage over Republican nominee Kevin Cissel, and consistent nonpartisan ratings as "Safe Democratic" from Cook Political Report and others. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, with primaries concluding in March showing Beatty unopposed on the Democratic side. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, Beatty health issues, or broader Republican turnout surge on November 5, though such shifts are rare in this urban Cincinnati stronghold absent national wave conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$15,698 交易量
$15,698 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$15,698 交易量
$15,698 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,698 交易量
94%
Republican Party
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty (D) commands trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability to win Ohio's 3rd Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's deep Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+24), her history of double-digit victories including 74% in 2022, strong fundraising advantage over Republican nominee Kevin Cissel, and consistent nonpartisan ratings as "Safe Democratic" from Cook Political Report and others. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, with primaries concluding in March showing Beatty unopposed on the Democratic side. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, Beatty health issues, or broader Republican turnout surge on November 5, though such shifts are rare in this urban Cincinnati stronghold absent national wave conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$15,698結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty (D) commands trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability to win Ohio's 3rd Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's deep Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+24), her history of double-digit victories including 74% in 2022, strong fundraising advantage over Republican nominee Kevin Cissel, and consistent nonpartisan ratings as "Safe Democratic" from Cook Political Report and others. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, with primaries concluding in March showing Beatty unopposed on the Democratic side. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, Beatty health issues, or broader Republican turnout surge on November 5, though such shifts are rare in this urban Cincinnati stronghold absent national wave conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,698結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty (D) commands trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability to win Ohio's 3rd Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's deep Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+24), her history of double-digit victories including 74% in 2022, strong fundraising advantage over Republican nominee Kevin Cissel, and consistent nonpartisan ratings as "Safe Democratic" from Cook Political Report and others. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, with primaries concluding in March showing Beatty unopposed on the Democratic side. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, Beatty health issues, or broader Republican turnout surge on November 5, though such shifts are rare in this urban Cincinnati stronghold absent national wave conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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