Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat (D) holds a commanding position in the safely Democratic NY-13 district (Cook PVI D+32), spanning Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx, where he won reelection in 2024 with 83.5% amid overwhelming Democratic margins. Recent District Council 37 endorsement bolsters his standing ahead of the April 6 filing deadline and June 23 closed primary, against a fractured field of seven lesser-funded Democratic challengers lacking credible threats. No Republicans have filed for their primary, underscoring the absence of general election competition. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats reflects this structural dominance, though a high-profile GOP recruit, primary upset, or unforeseen scandal could narrow odds before November's general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
93%
共和黨
6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
$0 交易量
93%
共和黨
$9,425 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat (D) holds a commanding position in the safely Democratic NY-13 district (Cook PVI D+32), spanning Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx, where he won reelection in 2024 with 83.5% amid overwhelming Democratic margins. Recent District Council 37 endorsement bolsters his standing ahead of the April 6 filing deadline and June 23 closed primary, against a fractured field of seven lesser-funded Democratic challengers lacking credible threats. No Republicans have filed for their primary, underscoring the absence of general election competition. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats reflects this structural dominance, though a high-profile GOP recruit, primary upset, or unforeseen scandal could narrow odds before November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$9,425結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat (D) holds a commanding position in the safely Democratic NY-13 district (Cook PVI D+32), spanning Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx, where he won reelection in 2024 with 83.5% amid overwhelming Democratic margins. Recent District Council 37 endorsement bolsters his standing ahead of the April 6 filing deadline and June 23 closed primary, against a fractured field of seven lesser-funded Democratic challengers lacking credible threats. No Republicans have filed for their primary, underscoring the absence of general election competition. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats reflects this structural dominance, though a high-profile GOP recruit, primary upset, or unforeseen scandal could narrow odds before November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,425結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat (D) holds a commanding position in the safely Democratic NY-13 district (Cook PVI D+32), spanning Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx, where he won reelection in 2024 with 83.5% amid overwhelming Democratic margins. Recent District Council 37 endorsement bolsters his standing ahead of the April 6 filing deadline and June 23 closed primary, against a fractured field of seven lesser-funded Democratic challengers lacking credible threats. No Republicans have filed for their primary, underscoring the absence of general election competition. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats reflects this structural dominance, though a high-profile GOP recruit, primary upset, or unforeseen scandal could narrow odds before November's general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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