Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford's unopposed Democratic primary—canceled after candidate filing closed March 16—bolsters trader consensus at 82.5% for the Democratic Party in NV-04, reflecting his incumbency advantage in a D+2 partisan voter index district where he won by 8 points in 2024 despite a tight presidential race. Strong fundraising ($757,000 cash on hand as of late 2025) dwarfs GOP primary contenders Ronda Kennedy, Anthony Snowden, and Cody Whipple, whose fragmented field ahead of the June 9 primary risks a weaker nominee. Cook Political Report rates it Lean Democratic, with Sabato and Inside Elections at Likely Democratic, underscoring baseline Democratic strength despite DCCC Frontline targeting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
83%
Republican Party
13%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$0 交易量
83%
Republican Party
$0 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford's unopposed Democratic primary—canceled after candidate filing closed March 16—bolsters trader consensus at 82.5% for the Democratic Party in NV-04, reflecting his incumbency advantage in a D+2 partisan voter index district where he won by 8 points in 2024 despite a tight presidential race. Strong fundraising ($757,000 cash on hand as of late 2025) dwarfs GOP primary contenders Ronda Kennedy, Anthony Snowden, and Cody Whipple, whose fragmented field ahead of the June 9 primary risks a weaker nominee. Cook Political Report rates it Lean Democratic, with Sabato and Inside Elections at Likely Democratic, underscoring baseline Democratic strength despite DCCC Frontline targeting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 4, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford's unopposed Democratic primary—canceled after candidate filing closed March 16—bolsters trader consensus at 82.5% for the Democratic Party in NV-04, reflecting his incumbency advantage in a D+2 partisan voter index district where he won by 8 points in 2024 despite a tight presidential race. Strong fundraising ($757,000 cash on hand as of late 2025) dwarfs GOP primary contenders Ronda Kennedy, Anthony Snowden, and Cody Whipple, whose fragmented field ahead of the June 9 primary risks a weaker nominee. Cook Political Report rates it Lean Democratic, with Sabato and Inside Elections at Likely Democratic, underscoring baseline Democratic strength despite DCCC Frontline targeting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 4, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford's unopposed Democratic primary—canceled after candidate filing closed March 16—bolsters trader consensus at 82.5% for the Democratic Party in NV-04, reflecting his incumbency advantage in a D+2 partisan voter index district where he won by 8 points in 2024 despite a tight presidential race. Strong fundraising ($757,000 cash on hand as of late 2025) dwarfs GOP primary contenders Ronda Kennedy, Anthony Snowden, and Cody Whipple, whose fragmented field ahead of the June 9 primary risks a weaker nominee. Cook Political Report rates it Lean Democratic, with Sabato and Inside Elections at Likely Democratic, underscoring baseline Democratic strength despite DCCC Frontline targeting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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