Former two-term Governor Roy Cooper maintains a solid lead over Republican Michael Whatley in North Carolina's open U.S. Senate race, with the latest Harper Polling survey (March 22-23) showing Cooper at 49% to Whatley's 41%, contributing to a polling average of roughly +8 for Democrats. This positioning drives trader consensus to an 80.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory following incumbent Thom Tillis's June 2025 retirement—which elevated the seat to a top Democratic pickup opportunity—and the March 3 primaries that secured nominations for the popular Cooper, who previously outperformed Biden and Clinton statewide. As a battleground state, factors like suburban turnout, urban mobilization, and national midterm dynamics could narrow the gap before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$14,655 交易量
$14,655 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
81%
共和黨
20%
$14,655 交易量
$14,655 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
$14,655 交易量
81%
共和黨
$0 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former two-term Governor Roy Cooper maintains a solid lead over Republican Michael Whatley in North Carolina's open U.S. Senate race, with the latest Harper Polling survey (March 22-23) showing Cooper at 49% to Whatley's 41%, contributing to a polling average of roughly +8 for Democrats. This positioning drives trader consensus to an 80.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory following incumbent Thom Tillis's June 2025 retirement—which elevated the seat to a top Democratic pickup opportunity—and the March 3 primaries that secured nominations for the popular Cooper, who previously outperformed Biden and Clinton statewide. As a battleground state, factors like suburban turnout, urban mobilization, and national midterm dynamics could narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$14,655結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former two-term Governor Roy Cooper maintains a solid lead over Republican Michael Whatley in North Carolina's open U.S. Senate race, with the latest Harper Polling survey (March 22-23) showing Cooper at 49% to Whatley's 41%, contributing to a polling average of roughly +8 for Democrats. This positioning drives trader consensus to an 80.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory following incumbent Thom Tillis's June 2025 retirement—which elevated the seat to a top Democratic pickup opportunity—and the March 3 primaries that secured nominations for the popular Cooper, who previously outperformed Biden and Clinton statewide. As a battleground state, factors like suburban turnout, urban mobilization, and national midterm dynamics could narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$14,655結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former two-term Governor Roy Cooper maintains a solid lead over Republican Michael Whatley in North Carolina's open U.S. Senate race, with the latest Harper Polling survey (March 22-23) showing Cooper at 49% to Whatley's 41%, contributing to a polling average of roughly +8 for Democrats. This positioning drives trader consensus to an 80.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory following incumbent Thom Tillis's June 2025 retirement—which elevated the seat to a top Democratic pickup opportunity—and the March 3 primaries that secured nominations for the popular Cooper, who previously outperformed Biden and Clinton statewide. As a battleground state, factors like suburban turnout, urban mobilization, and national midterm dynamics could narrow the gap before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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