Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander maintains a strong lead in recent polling for New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District House race, driving trader consensus toward a 73.5% implied probability of a Democratic victory. A Saint Anselm College survey from March 16-18 among 739 registered voters showed Goodlander at 48%, Republican Lily Tang Williams at 36%, and 16% undecided, widening her edge from prior matchups. This follows a January University of New Hampshire poll with Goodlander ahead 54%-40% among likely voters, underscoring incumbency advantages after her narrow 2024 win in the battleground district, which ratings outlets like Cook Political Report deem Likely Democratic. With primaries on September 8, no major shifts have emerged in the past 30 days to alter the trajectory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主黨
74%
共和黨
26%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主黨
$0 交易量
74%
共和黨
$0 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander maintains a strong lead in recent polling for New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District House race, driving trader consensus toward a 73.5% implied probability of a Democratic victory. A Saint Anselm College survey from March 16-18 among 739 registered voters showed Goodlander at 48%, Republican Lily Tang Williams at 36%, and 16% undecided, widening her edge from prior matchups. This follows a January University of New Hampshire poll with Goodlander ahead 54%-40% among likely voters, underscoring incumbency advantages after her narrow 2024 win in the battleground district, which ratings outlets like Cook Political Report deem Likely Democratic. With primaries on September 8, no major shifts have emerged in the past 30 days to alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 4, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander maintains a strong lead in recent polling for New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District House race, driving trader consensus toward a 73.5% implied probability of a Democratic victory. A Saint Anselm College survey from March 16-18 among 739 registered voters showed Goodlander at 48%, Republican Lily Tang Williams at 36%, and 16% undecided, widening her edge from prior matchups. This follows a January University of New Hampshire poll with Goodlander ahead 54%-40% among likely voters, underscoring incumbency advantages after her narrow 2024 win in the battleground district, which ratings outlets like Cook Political Report deem Likely Democratic. With primaries on September 8, no major shifts have emerged in the past 30 days to alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 4, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander maintains a strong lead in recent polling for New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District House race, driving trader consensus toward a 73.5% implied probability of a Democratic victory. A Saint Anselm College survey from March 16-18 among 739 registered voters showed Goodlander at 48%, Republican Lily Tang Williams at 36%, and 16% undecided, widening her edge from prior matchups. This follows a January University of New Hampshire poll with Goodlander ahead 54%-40% among likely voters, underscoring incumbency advantages after her narrow 2024 win in the battleground district, which ratings outlets like Cook Political Report deem Likely Democratic. With primaries on September 8, no major shifts have emerged in the past 30 days to alter the trajectory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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