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選舉·主要

NH-01共和黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·主要

NH-01共和黨初選獲勝者

安東尼·迪洛倫佐 48%

Hollie Noveletsky 41%

梅麗莎·貝利 6%

伊麗莎白·吉拉爾 4.7%

Polymarket

$22,142 交易量

安東尼·迪洛倫佐 48%

Hollie Noveletsky 41%

梅麗莎·貝利 6%

伊麗莎白·吉拉爾 4.7%

Polymarket

$22,142 交易量

安東尼·迪洛倫佐

$0 交易量

48%

Hollie Noveletsky

$22,142 交易量

41%

梅麗莎·貝利

$0 交易量

6%

伊麗莎白·吉拉爾

$0 交易量

5%

布賴恩·科爾

$0 交易量

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Republican primary, trader consensus favors Portsmouth businessman Anthony DiLorenzo at 47.5% over conservative CEO and Army Reserve veteran Hollie Noveletsky at 40.5%, reflecting a closely contested race driven by recent endorsements and attack ads. DiLorenzo gained a slight edge after Steve Stepanek, influential NH GOP committeeman, endorsed him on March 16 as the strongest general election contender against Democrat Chris Pappas, building on earlier backing from Chris Bright who exited the field. Noveletsky countered with a March 17 ad accusing DiLorenzo of supporting immigration amnesty, underscoring divides between establishment and populist factions. Lower-tier candidates like Melissa Bailey, Elizabeth Girard, and Brian Cole trail amid undecided voters; separation could come from Q1 FEC fundraising reports, additional endorsements, or early polls ahead of the September 8 primary.

In New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Republican primary, trader consensus favors Portsmouth businessman Anthony DiLorenzo at 47.5% over conservative CEO and Army Reserve veteran Hollie Noveletsky at 40.5%, reflecting a closely contested race driven by recent endorsements and attack ads. DiLorenzo gained a slight edge after Steve Stepanek, influential NH GOP committeeman, endorsed him on March 16 as the strongest general election contender against Democrat Chris Pappas, building on earlier backing from Chris Bright who exited the field. Noveletsky countered with a March 17 ad accusing DiLorenzo of supporting immigration amnesty, underscoring divides between establishment and populist factions. Lower-tier candidates like Melissa Bailey, Elizabeth Girard, and Brian Cole trail amid undecided voters; separation could come from Q1 FEC fundraising reports, additional endorsements, or early polls ahead of the September 8 primary.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Republican primary, trader consensus favors Portsmouth businessman Anthony DiLorenzo at 47.5% over conservative CEO and Army Reserve veteran Hollie Noveletsky at 40.5%, reflecting a closely contested race driven by recent endorsements and attack ads. DiLorenzo gained a slight edge after Steve Stepanek, influential NH GOP committeeman, endorsed him on March 16 as the strongest general election contender against Democrat Chris Pappas, building on earlier backing from Chris Bright who exited the field. Noveletsky countered with a March 17 ad accusing DiLorenzo of supporting immigration amnesty, underscoring divides between establishment and populist factions. Lower-tier candidates like Melissa Bailey, Elizabeth Girard, and Brian Cole trail amid undecided voters; separation could come from Q1 FEC fundraising reports, additional endorsements, or early polls ahead of the September 8 primary.

In New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Republican primary, trader consensus favors Portsmouth businessman Anthony DiLorenzo at 47.5% over conservative CEO and Army Reserve veteran Hollie Noveletsky at 40.5%, reflecting a closely contested race driven by recent endorsements and attack ads. DiLorenzo gained a slight edge after Steve Stepanek, influential NH GOP committeeman, endorsed him on March 16 as the strongest general election contender against Democrat Chris Pappas, building on earlier backing from Chris Bright who exited the field. Noveletsky countered with a March 17 ad accusing DiLorenzo of supporting immigration amnesty, underscoring divides between establishment and populist factions. Lower-tier candidates like Melissa Bailey, Elizabeth Girard, and Brian Cole trail amid undecided voters; separation could come from Q1 FEC fundraising reports, additional endorsements, or early polls ahead of the September 8 primary.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"NH-01共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "安東尼·迪洛倫佐" at 48%, followed by "Hollie Noveletsky" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NH-01共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $22.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NH-01共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NH-01共和黨初選獲勝者" is "安東尼·迪洛倫佐" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hollie Noveletsky" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NH-01共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.