Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 54.5% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister following the September 13, 2026, general election, driven by recent opinion polls showing the Social Democrats and left bloc leading with around 52% support against the Tidö coalition's 43%. Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson trails at 36.5%, pressured by his April 1 announcement that the Moderates would form a majority government with the Sweden Democrats—granting them cabinet posts for the first time—which has alienated former Moderate voters and sparked tensions within the Christian Democrats and Liberals. Jimmie Åkesson and others lag due to smaller party polls, with coalition negotiations pivotal in the proportional representation system. Recent Indikator polling (late March) underscores the left's edge amid economic recovery and security concerns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於馬格達萊娜·安德松 55%
烏爾夫·克里斯特松 37%
Jimmie Åkesson 4.2%
埃巴·布希 1.8%
$1,723,983 交易量
$1,723,983 交易量

馬格達萊娜·安德松
55%

烏爾夫·克里斯特松
37%

Jimmie Åkesson
4%

埃巴·布希
2%

阿曼達·林德
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

安娜-卡琳·哈特
<1%

西蒙娜·莫哈姆松
<1%

丹尼爾·赫爾登
<1%

伊麗莎白·坦德·林克維斯特
<1%
馬格達萊娜·安德松 55%
烏爾夫·克里斯特松 37%
Jimmie Åkesson 4.2%
埃巴·布希 1.8%
$1,723,983 交易量
$1,723,983 交易量

馬格達萊娜·安德松
55%

烏爾夫·克里斯特松
37%

Jimmie Åkesson
4%

埃巴·布希
2%

阿曼達·林德
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

安娜-卡琳·哈特
<1%

西蒙娜·莫哈姆松
<1%

丹尼爾·赫爾登
<1%

伊麗莎白·坦德·林克維斯特
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 54.5% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister following the September 13, 2026, general election, driven by recent opinion polls showing the Social Democrats and left bloc leading with around 52% support against the Tidö coalition's 43%. Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson trails at 36.5%, pressured by his April 1 announcement that the Moderates would form a majority government with the Sweden Democrats—granting them cabinet posts for the first time—which has alienated former Moderate voters and sparked tensions within the Christian Democrats and Liberals. Jimmie Åkesson and others lag due to smaller party polls, with coalition negotiations pivotal in the proportional representation system. Recent Indikator polling (late March) underscores the left's edge amid economic recovery and security concerns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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