Market icon
選舉·格陵蘭

下一任丹麥首相？

Market icon
選舉·格陵蘭

下一任丹麥首相？

梅特·弗雷德里克森 92%

拉爾斯·勒克·拉斯穆森 5.7%

特羅爾斯·倫·保爾森 2.1%

莫娜·尤爾 <1%

Polymarket

$3,584,896 交易量

梅特·弗雷德里克森 92%

拉爾斯·勒克·拉斯穆森 5.7%

特羅爾斯·倫·保爾森 2.1%

莫娜·尤爾 <1%

Polymarket

$3,584,896 交易量

Market icon

梅特·弗雷德里克森

$989,314 交易量

92%

Market icon

拉爾斯·勒克·拉斯穆森

$837,774 交易量

6%

Market icon

特羅爾斯·倫·保爾森

$611,176 交易量

2%

Market icon

莫娜·尤爾

$84,613 交易量

<1%

Market icon

亞歷克斯·范奧普斯拉赫

$607,863 交易量

<1%

Market icon

莫滕·梅塞施密特

$168,437 交易量

<1%

Market icon

拉斯·博耶·馬蒂森

$75,740 交易量

<1%

Market icon

英厄·斯托伊貝格

$20,960 交易量

<1%

Market icon

馬丁·利德高

$31,698 交易量

<1%

Market icon

Pia Olsen Dyhr

$112,807 交易量

<1%

Market icon

Pelle Dragsted

$44,696 交易量

<1%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mette Frederiksen's 91.5% implied probability as next Prime Minister of Denmark reflects her Social Democrats' continued poll dominance—around 30-35% in recent surveys—and stable coalition support in the Folketing following the 2022 election win, with no snap election signals or no-confidence threats emerging in the past 30 days. Trader consensus underscores the incumbency advantage in Denmark's proportional representation system, where her center-left bloc holds a working majority amid low volatility. Lars Løkke Rasmussen trails at 5.5% due to his Moderate party's modest gains, but challengers like Troels Lund Poulsen of Venstre face steep hurdles without a polling surge. Scenarios to shift odds include a coalition fracture, scandal, or abrupt parliamentary dissolution before the scheduled 2026 vote.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,584,896
結束日期
Mar 24, 2026
市場開放時間
Feb 26, 2026, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mette Frederiksen's 91.5% implied probability as next Prime Minister of Denmark reflects her Social Democrats' continued poll dominance—around 30-35% in recent surveys—and stable coalition support in the Folketing following the 2022 election win, with no snap election signals or no-confidence threats emerging in the past 30 days. Trader consensus underscores the incumbency advantage in Denmark's proportional representation system, where her center-left bloc holds a working majority amid low volatility. Lars Løkke Rasmussen trails at 5.5% due to his Moderate party's modest gains, but challengers like Troels Lund Poulsen of Venstre face steep hurdles without a polling surge. Scenarios to shift odds include a coalition fracture, scandal, or abrupt parliamentary dissolution before the scheduled 2026 vote.

Mette Frederiksen's 91.5% implied probability as next Prime Minister of Denmark reflects her Social Democrats' continued poll dominance—around 30-35% in recent surveys—and stable coalition support in the Folketing following the 2022 election win, with no snap election signals or no-confidence threats emerging in the past 30 days. Trader consensus underscores the incumbency advantage in Denmark's proportional representation system, where her center-left bloc holds a working majority amid low volatility. Lars Løkke Rasmussen trails at 5.5% due to his Moderate party's modest gains, but challengers like Troels Lund Poulsen of Venstre face steep hurdles without a polling surge. Scenarios to shift odds include a coalition fracture, scandal, or abrupt parliamentary dissolution before the scheduled 2026 vote.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"下一任丹麥首相？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "梅特·弗雷德里克森" at 92%, followed by "拉爾斯·勒克·拉斯穆森" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下一任丹麥首相？" has generated $3.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下一任丹麥首相？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下一任丹麥首相？" is "梅特·弗雷德里克森" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "拉爾斯·勒克·拉斯穆森" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下一任丹麥首相？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.