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選舉·全球選舉

下屆法國總統選舉

Market icon
選舉·全球選舉

下屆法國總統選舉

喬丹·巴爾德拉 25%

埃杜阿爾·菲利普 21%

讓-呂克·梅朗雄 9%

瑪琳·勒龐 8%

Polymarket

$21,761,858 交易量

喬丹·巴爾德拉 25%

埃杜阿爾·菲利普 21%

讓-呂克·梅朗雄 9%

瑪琳·勒龐 8%

Polymarket

$21,761,858 交易量

Market icon

喬丹·巴爾德拉

$588,473 交易量

25%

Market icon

埃杜阿爾·菲利普

$360,480 交易量

21%

Market icon

讓-呂克·梅朗雄

$209,908 交易量

9%

Market icon

瑪琳·勒龐

$279,015 交易量

8%

Market icon

多米尼克·德維爾潘

$765,073 交易量

5%

Market icon

拉斐爾·格呂克斯曼

$425,884 交易量

4%

Market icon

布魯諾·赫泰約

$858,031 交易量

4%

Market icon

弗朗索瓦·奧朗德

$515,515 交易量

3%

Market icon

莎拉·克納福

$913,049 交易量

3%

Market icon

大衛·利斯納爾

$627,118 交易量

3%

Market icon

Gabriel Attal

$792,046 交易量

3%

Market icon

瓦萊麗·佩克雷斯

$861,721 交易量

3%

Market icon

塞巴斯蒂安·勒科努

$568,083 交易量

2%

Market icon

讓·卡斯泰

$433,213 交易量

1%

Market icon

熱拉爾·達爾馬寧

$296,650 交易量

1%

Market icon

埃里克·澤穆爾

$311,494 交易量

1%

Market icon

胡安·布蘭科

$245,365 交易量

1%

Market icon

弗朗索瓦·魯芬

$259,689 交易量

1%

Market icon

貝爾納·卡澤納夫

$229,773 交易量

1%

Market icon

瑪琳·通德列

$309,579 交易量

1%

Market icon

法比恩·魯塞爾

$789,385 交易量

1%

Market icon

尼古拉·杜邦-艾尼昂

$1,061,836 交易量

<1%

Market icon

澤維耶·貝特朗

$411,763 交易量

<1%

Market icon

曼努埃爾·邦帕爾

$662,907 交易量

<1%

Market icon

洛朗·瓦奎茲

$236,737 交易量

<1%

Market icon

弗朗索瓦·阿斯利諾

$909,635 交易量

<1%

Market icon

伊莉莎白·博爾內

$781,923 交易量

<1%

Market icon

奧利維耶·福爾

$609,641 交易量

<1%

Market icon

塞格琳·羅亞爾

$811,727 交易量

<1%

Market icon

克萊芙蒂娜·奧坦

$1,114,526 交易量

<1%

Market icon

米歇爾·巴尼耶

$723,118 交易量

<1%

Market icon

弗朗索瓦·貝魯

$705,260 交易量

<1%

Market icon

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$575,754 交易量

<1%

Market icon

克蕾芙絲·蓋特

$852,309 交易量

<1%

Market icon

卡羅爾·德爾加

$671,350 交易量

<1%

Market icon

馬蒂爾德·帕諾

$994,151 交易量

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella's lead at 24.5% on Polymarket reflects recent Ifop polls from early March 2026 showing him topping first-round voting at 36%, buoyed by National Rally strength amid Marine Le Pen's ongoing appeal against a 2025 embezzlement conviction that threatens her eligibility. Édouard Philippe trails closely at 20.5%, aligning with his 11-16% poll shares as a centrist alternative drawing from former Macron supporters and Republicans, though his mayoral reelection in Le Havre amid March municipal elections poses a key test. The tight race stems from a fragmented field—left candidates like Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 8.5% lag—with no dominant second-round favorite; separation could arise from Le Pen's summer verdict, party primaries, or fresh polling ahead of the April 2027 vote.

Jordan Bardella's lead at 24.5% on Polymarket reflects recent Ifop polls from early March 2026 showing him topping first-round voting at 36%, buoyed by National Rally strength amid Marine Le Pen's ongoing appeal against a 2025 embezzlement conviction that threatens her eligibility. Édouard Philippe trails closely at 20.5%, aligning with his 11-16% poll shares as a centrist alternative drawing from former Macron supporters and Republicans, though his mayoral reelection in Le Havre amid March municipal elections poses a key test. The tight race stems from a fragmented field—left candidates like Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 8.5% lag—with no dominant second-round favorite; separation could arise from Le Pen's summer verdict, party primaries, or fresh polling ahead of the April 2027 vote.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella's lead at 24.5% on Polymarket reflects recent Ifop polls from early March 2026 showing him topping first-round voting at 36%, buoyed by National Rally strength amid Marine Le Pen's ongoing appeal against a 2025 embezzlement conviction that threatens her eligibility. Édouard Philippe trails closely at 20.5%, aligning with his 11-16% poll shares as a centrist alternative drawing from former Macron supporters and Republicans, though his mayoral reelection in Le Havre amid March municipal elections poses a key test. The tight race stems from a fragmented field—left candidates like Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 8.5% lag—with no dominant second-round favorite; separation could arise from Le Pen's summer verdict, party primaries, or fresh polling ahead of the April 2027 vote.

Jordan Bardella's lead at 24.5% on Polymarket reflects recent Ifop polls from early March 2026 showing him topping first-round voting at 36%, buoyed by National Rally strength amid Marine Le Pen's ongoing appeal against a 2025 embezzlement conviction that threatens her eligibility. Édouard Philippe trails closely at 20.5%, aligning with his 11-16% poll shares as a centrist alternative drawing from former Macron supporters and Republicans, though his mayoral reelection in Le Havre amid March municipal elections poses a key test. The tight race stems from a fragmented field—left candidates like Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 8.5% lag—with no dominant second-round favorite; separation could arise from Le Pen's summer verdict, party primaries, or fresh polling ahead of the April 2027 vote.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"下屆法國總統選舉" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "喬丹·巴爾德拉" at 25%, followed by "埃杜阿爾·菲利普" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下屆法國總統選舉" has generated $21.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下屆法國總統選舉," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下屆法國總統選舉" is "喬丹·巴爾德拉" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "埃杜阿爾·菲利普" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下屆法國總統選舉" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.