Market icon
政治·主要

內布拉斯加州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

內布拉斯加州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

吉姆·皮倫 93%

薛拉·寇斯-福肯 2.2%

查爾斯·赫伯斯特 1.7%

Gary L. Rogge 1.2%

Polymarket

$57,990 交易量

吉姆·皮倫 93%

薛拉·寇斯-福肯 2.2%

查爾斯·赫伯斯特 1.7%

Gary L. Rogge 1.2%

Polymarket

$57,990 交易量

吉姆·皮倫

$9,303 交易量

93%

薛拉·寇斯-福肯

$750 交易量

2%

查爾斯·赫伯斯特

$47,657 交易量

2%

Gary L. Rogge

$0 交易量

1%

約翰·瓦爾茲

$0 交易量

1%

賈西·陶德

$0 交易量

1%

薩爾·霍爾金

$280 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Nebraska, scheduled to take place on May 12, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nebraska Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nebraska Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Governor Jim Pillen's 93% implied probability in the Nebraska Republican gubernatorial primary reflects his commanding incumbency advantage, bolstered by a $10 million campaign war chest and the March 2 withdrawal of 2022 runner-up Charles Herbster, who opted against a rematch ahead of the filing deadline. Low-profile challengers like Sheila Korth-Focken, a former city administrator, Gary L. Rogge, John Walz, Sal Holguin, and others lack significant fundraising or name recognition, leaving no viable threat in the May 12 nonpartisan primary ballot race. While a State Patrol probe into a $2.5 million no-bid contract—handed to Lincoln police on March 11—has sparked criticism, traders dismiss it as insufficient to shift momentum absent charges or major escalation. Late scandals, endorsements, or protest turnout could theoretically challenge his path to renomination.

Incumbent Governor Jim Pillen's 93% implied probability in the Nebraska Republican gubernatorial primary reflects his commanding incumbency advantage, bolstered by a $10 million campaign war chest and the March 2 withdrawal of 2022 runner-up Charles Herbster, who opted against a rematch ahead of the filing deadline. Low-profile challengers like Sheila Korth-Focken, a former city administrator, Gary L. Rogge, John Walz, Sal Holguin, and others lack significant fundraising or name recognition, leaving no viable threat in the May 12 nonpartisan primary ballot race. While a State Patrol probe into a $2.5 million no-bid contract—handed to Lincoln police on March 11—has sparked criticism, traders dismiss it as insufficient to shift momentum absent charges or major escalation. Late scandals, endorsements, or protest turnout could theoretically challenge his path to renomination.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Nebraska, scheduled to take place on May 12, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nebraska Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nebraska Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Governor Jim Pillen's 93% implied probability in the Nebraska Republican gubernatorial primary reflects his commanding incumbency advantage, bolstered by a $10 million campaign war chest and the March 2 withdrawal of 2022 runner-up Charles Herbster, who opted against a rematch ahead of the filing deadline. Low-profile challengers like Sheila Korth-Focken, a former city administrator, Gary L. Rogge, John Walz, Sal Holguin, and others lack significant fundraising or name recognition, leaving no viable threat in the May 12 nonpartisan primary ballot race. While a State Patrol probe into a $2.5 million no-bid contract—handed to Lincoln police on March 11—has sparked criticism, traders dismiss it as insufficient to shift momentum absent charges or major escalation. Late scandals, endorsements, or protest turnout could theoretically challenge his path to renomination.

Incumbent Governor Jim Pillen's 93% implied probability in the Nebraska Republican gubernatorial primary reflects his commanding incumbency advantage, bolstered by a $10 million campaign war chest and the March 2 withdrawal of 2022 runner-up Charles Herbster, who opted against a rematch ahead of the filing deadline. Low-profile challengers like Sheila Korth-Focken, a former city administrator, Gary L. Rogge, John Walz, Sal Holguin, and others lack significant fundraising or name recognition, leaving no viable threat in the May 12 nonpartisan primary ballot race. While a State Patrol probe into a $2.5 million no-bid contract—handed to Lincoln police on March 11—has sparked criticism, traders dismiss it as insufficient to shift momentum absent charges or major escalation. Late scandals, endorsements, or protest turnout could theoretically challenge his path to renomination.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"內布拉斯加州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "吉姆·皮倫" at 93%, followed by "薛拉·寇斯-福肯" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "內布拉斯加州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $58K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "內布拉斯加州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "內布拉斯加州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is "吉姆·皮倫" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "薛拉·寇斯-福肯" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "內布拉斯加州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.