North Carolina's 4th Congressional District, a reliably Democratic seat with Cook PVI D+14, drives trader consensus heavily toward the Democratic Party at 93.5% for the House election winner, anchored by incumbent Valerie Foushee's unchallenged primary win and her 2022 margin exceeding 35 points. No significant developments in the past 30 days—such as polls, scandals, or campaign shifts—have altered this dynamic, with the Republican nominee facing structural barriers including limited funding, low name recognition, and demographics favoring Democrats in the Raleigh-Durham area. Early voting began October 17 amid national GOP momentum elsewhere in battleground North Carolina, but safe-district history suggests stability. Realistic challenges include a massive turnout surge, Foushee health issues, or late-breaking controversy, though odds imply low likelihood before November 5.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,774 交易量
94%
Republican Party
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 4th Congressional District, a reliably Democratic seat with Cook PVI D+14, drives trader consensus heavily toward the Democratic Party at 93.5% for the House election winner, anchored by incumbent Valerie Foushee's unchallenged primary win and her 2022 margin exceeding 35 points. No significant developments in the past 30 days—such as polls, scandals, or campaign shifts—have altered this dynamic, with the Republican nominee facing structural barriers including limited funding, low name recognition, and demographics favoring Democrats in the Raleigh-Durham area. Early voting began October 17 amid national GOP momentum elsewhere in battleground North Carolina, but safe-district history suggests stability. Realistic challenges include a massive turnout surge, Foushee health issues, or late-breaking controversy, though odds imply low likelihood before November 5.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$6,774結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 4th Congressional District, a reliably Democratic seat with Cook PVI D+14, drives trader consensus heavily toward the Democratic Party at 93.5% for the House election winner, anchored by incumbent Valerie Foushee's unchallenged primary win and her 2022 margin exceeding 35 points. No significant developments in the past 30 days—such as polls, scandals, or campaign shifts—have altered this dynamic, with the Republican nominee facing structural barriers including limited funding, low name recognition, and demographics favoring Democrats in the Raleigh-Durham area. Early voting began October 17 amid national GOP momentum elsewhere in battleground North Carolina, but safe-district history suggests stability. Realistic challenges include a massive turnout surge, Foushee health issues, or late-breaking controversy, though odds imply low likelihood before November 5.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,774結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 4th Congressional District, a reliably Democratic seat with Cook PVI D+14, drives trader consensus heavily toward the Democratic Party at 93.5% for the House election winner, anchored by incumbent Valerie Foushee's unchallenged primary win and her 2022 margin exceeding 35 points. No significant developments in the past 30 days—such as polls, scandals, or campaign shifts—have altered this dynamic, with the Republican nominee facing structural barriers including limited funding, low name recognition, and demographics favoring Democrats in the Raleigh-Durham area. Early voting began October 17 amid national GOP momentum elsewhere in battleground North Carolina, but safe-district history suggests stability. Realistic challenges include a massive turnout surge, Foushee health issues, or late-breaking controversy, though odds imply low likelihood before November 5.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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