Incumbent Republican Jason Smith secured a decisive victory in Missouri's 8th Congressional District on election night, capturing approximately 73% of the vote against Democrat Leonard Billups amid a district rated R+24 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index. Pre-election polls and historical trends in this reliably red battleground—where Donald Trump won by over 70 points in 2020—forecasted Smith's dominant performance, reflecting strong GOP turnout and incumbency advantages. With results certified at the county level and no recounts, disputes, or legal challenges reported, traders' 93.5% consensus on a Republican win awaits only statewide canvassing and formal House seating. Barring unprecedented irregularities, such as verified fraud claims, this outcome appears locked in.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$18,623 交易量
$18,623 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
共和黨
94%
民主黨
6%
$18,623 交易量
$18,623 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
共和黨
$8,504 交易量
94%
民主黨
$10,119 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jason Smith secured a decisive victory in Missouri's 8th Congressional District on election night, capturing approximately 73% of the vote against Democrat Leonard Billups amid a district rated R+24 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index. Pre-election polls and historical trends in this reliably red battleground—where Donald Trump won by over 70 points in 2020—forecasted Smith's dominant performance, reflecting strong GOP turnout and incumbency advantages. With results certified at the county level and no recounts, disputes, or legal challenges reported, traders' 93.5% consensus on a Republican win awaits only statewide canvassing and formal House seating. Barring unprecedented irregularities, such as verified fraud claims, this outcome appears locked in.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$18,623結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jason Smith secured a decisive victory in Missouri's 8th Congressional District on election night, capturing approximately 73% of the vote against Democrat Leonard Billups amid a district rated R+24 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index. Pre-election polls and historical trends in this reliably red battleground—where Donald Trump won by over 70 points in 2020—forecasted Smith's dominant performance, reflecting strong GOP turnout and incumbency advantages. With results certified at the county level and no recounts, disputes, or legal challenges reported, traders' 93.5% consensus on a Republican win awaits only statewide canvassing and formal House seating. Barring unprecedented irregularities, such as verified fraud claims, this outcome appears locked in.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,623結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jason Smith secured a decisive victory in Missouri's 8th Congressional District on election night, capturing approximately 73% of the vote against Democrat Leonard Billups amid a district rated R+24 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index. Pre-election polls and historical trends in this reliably red battleground—where Donald Trump won by over 70 points in 2020—forecasted Smith's dominant performance, reflecting strong GOP turnout and incumbency advantages. With results certified at the county level and no recounts, disputes, or legal challenges reported, traders' 93.5% consensus on a Republican win awaits only statewide canvassing and formal House seating. Barring unprecedented irregularities, such as verified fraud claims, this outcome appears locked in.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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