Incumbent Republican Rep. Michelle Fischbach's strong reelection bid in the R+18 Minnesota 7th Congressional District anchors trader consensus at 90% for the Republican Party, reflecting her 70.4% victory in 2024, superior fundraising with $767,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as of mid-March 2026. Democratic primary contenders Erik Osberg, Jared Adams, and Heather Keeler trail with under $90,000 combined cash, underscoring limited opposition firepower. No recent polling exists, but stable forecaster assessments and district partisan lean sustain high Republican implied probability ahead of the June filing deadline and August 11 primaries, though a strong Democratic nominee or scandal could shift dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和黨
90%
民主黨
10%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和黨
$0 交易量
90%
民主黨
$0 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Michelle Fischbach's strong reelection bid in the R+18 Minnesota 7th Congressional District anchors trader consensus at 90% for the Republican Party, reflecting her 70.4% victory in 2024, superior fundraising with $767,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as of mid-March 2026. Democratic primary contenders Erik Osberg, Jared Adams, and Heather Keeler trail with under $90,000 combined cash, underscoring limited opposition firepower. No recent polling exists, but stable forecaster assessments and district partisan lean sustain high Republican implied probability ahead of the June filing deadline and August 11 primaries, though a strong Democratic nominee or scandal could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Michelle Fischbach's strong reelection bid in the R+18 Minnesota 7th Congressional District anchors trader consensus at 90% for the Republican Party, reflecting her 70.4% victory in 2024, superior fundraising with $767,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as of mid-March 2026. Democratic primary contenders Erik Osberg, Jared Adams, and Heather Keeler trail with under $90,000 combined cash, underscoring limited opposition firepower. No recent polling exists, but stable forecaster assessments and district partisan lean sustain high Republican implied probability ahead of the June filing deadline and August 11 primaries, though a strong Democratic nominee or scandal could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Michelle Fischbach's strong reelection bid in the R+18 Minnesota 7th Congressional District anchors trader consensus at 90% for the Republican Party, reflecting her 70.4% victory in 2024, superior fundraising with $767,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as of mid-March 2026. Democratic primary contenders Erik Osberg, Jared Adams, and Heather Keeler trail with under $90,000 combined cash, underscoring limited opposition firepower. No recent polling exists, but stable forecaster assessments and district partisan lean sustain high Republican implied probability ahead of the June filing deadline and August 11 primaries, though a strong Democratic nominee or scandal could shift dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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