Market icon
政治·主要

明尼蘇達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

明尼蘇達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

米歇爾·塔福亞 73%

亞當·施瓦茨 9.8%

雷蒙德·彼得森 6.5%

麥克·魯奧霍 6.4%

Polymarket
NEW

米歇爾·塔福亞 73%

亞當·施瓦茨 9.8%

雷蒙德·彼得森 6.5%

麥克·魯奧霍 6.4%

Polymarket
NEW

米歇爾·塔福亞

$1,585 交易量

78%

亞當·施瓦茨

$0 交易量

10%

雷蒙德·彼得森

$0 交易量

6%

麥克·魯奧霍

$0 交易量

6%

羅伊斯·懷特

$0 交易量

3%

艾莉西亞·格倫哈根

$0 交易量

3%

Christopher Brooks

$0 交易量

1%

吉姆·納許

$0 交易量

1%

大衛·漢恩

$0 交易量

1%

Tom Weiler

$0 交易量

<1%

朱莉婭·科爾曼

$0 交易量

<1%

Kristin Robbins

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Michele Tafoya leads trader consensus at 79% implied probability for the Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate primary on August 13, driven by her national name recognition as a former ESPN commentator and recent campaign launch emphasizing conservative priorities like border security and economic policy. Her high-profile media background contrasts with the fragmented field of lesser-known challengers, including Adam Schwarze and Raymond Petersen, who hold modest support from local donors and activists but lack comparable fundraising or polling traction. Absent major polls, traders price Tafoya as the frontrunner amid Royce White's stalled momentum from past campaign controversies, with upcoming candidate forums and FEC filings as key catalysts before early voting begins.

Michele Tafoya leads trader consensus at 79% implied probability for the Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate primary on August 13, driven by her national name recognition as a former ESPN commentator and recent campaign launch emphasizing conservative priorities like border security and economic policy. Her high-profile media background contrasts with the fragmented field of lesser-known challengers, including Adam Schwarze and Raymond Petersen, who hold modest support from local donors and activists but lack comparable fundraising or polling traction. Absent major polls, traders price Tafoya as the frontrunner amid Royce White's stalled momentum from past campaign controversies, with upcoming candidate forums and FEC filings as key catalysts before early voting begins.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Michele Tafoya leads trader consensus at 79% implied probability for the Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate primary on August 13, driven by her national name recognition as a former ESPN commentator and recent campaign launch emphasizing conservative priorities like border security and economic policy. Her high-profile media background contrasts with the fragmented field of lesser-known challengers, including Adam Schwarze and Raymond Petersen, who hold modest support from local donors and activists but lack comparable fundraising or polling traction. Absent major polls, traders price Tafoya as the frontrunner amid Royce White's stalled momentum from past campaign controversies, with upcoming candidate forums and FEC filings as key catalysts before early voting begins.

Michele Tafoya leads trader consensus at 79% implied probability for the Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate primary on August 13, driven by her national name recognition as a former ESPN commentator and recent campaign launch emphasizing conservative priorities like border security and economic policy. Her high-profile media background contrasts with the fragmented field of lesser-known challengers, including Adam Schwarze and Raymond Petersen, who hold modest support from local donors and activists but lack comparable fundraising or polling traction. Absent major polls, traders price Tafoya as the frontrunner amid Royce White's stalled momentum from past campaign controversies, with upcoming candidate forums and FEC filings as key catalysts before early voting begins.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"明尼蘇達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "米歇爾·塔福亞" at 79%, followed by "亞當·施瓦茨" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"明尼蘇達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 2, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "明尼蘇達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "明尼蘇達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "米歇爾·塔福亞" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "亞當·施瓦茨" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "明尼蘇達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.