Michele Tafoya commands overwhelming trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability to win the Minnesota Republican US Senate primary on August 13, driven by her recent surge in a July 25 Emerson College poll showing her at 26% support—well ahead of Royce White's 18%—bolstered by superior fundraising totals exceeding $1 million and endorsements from prominent conservatives like Joe Rogan. White's earlier momentum from the May Minnesota GOP convention endorsement has faded amid ongoing personal controversies and legal challenges, dropping him to 3.5%. Challengers Adam Schwarze (9.4%) and Raymond Petersen (8.3%) draw niche grassroots backing in rural areas but trail distant amid Tafoya's consolidated lead among likely primary voters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於米歇爾·塔福亞 78%
亞當·施瓦茨 9.3%
雷蒙德·彼得森 7.4%
羅伊斯·懷特 3.5%
$31,078 交易量
$31,078 交易量
米歇爾·塔福亞
78%
亞當·施瓦茨
9%
雷蒙德·彼得森
7%
羅伊斯·懷特
3%
麥克·魯奧霍
2%
Christopher Brooks
1%
Tom Weiler
1%
大衛·漢恩
1%
艾莉西亞·格倫哈根
1%
吉姆·納許
1%
朱莉婭·科爾曼
<1%
Kristin Robbins
<1%
米歇爾·塔福亞 78%
亞當·施瓦茨 9.3%
雷蒙德·彼得森 7.4%
羅伊斯·懷特 3.5%
$31,078 交易量
$31,078 交易量
米歇爾·塔福亞
78%
亞當·施瓦茨
9%
雷蒙德·彼得森
7%
羅伊斯·懷特
3%
麥克·魯奧霍
2%
Christopher Brooks
1%
Tom Weiler
1%
大衛·漢恩
1%
艾莉西亞·格倫哈根
1%
吉姆·納許
1%
朱莉婭·科爾曼
<1%
Kristin Robbins
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 2, 2025, 3:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michele Tafoya commands overwhelming trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability to win the Minnesota Republican US Senate primary on August 13, driven by her recent surge in a July 25 Emerson College poll showing her at 26% support—well ahead of Royce White's 18%—bolstered by superior fundraising totals exceeding $1 million and endorsements from prominent conservatives like Joe Rogan. White's earlier momentum from the May Minnesota GOP convention endorsement has faded amid ongoing personal controversies and legal challenges, dropping him to 3.5%. Challengers Adam Schwarze (9.4%) and Raymond Petersen (8.3%) draw niche grassroots backing in rural areas but trail distant amid Tafoya's consolidated lead among likely primary voters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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