Polls consistently show Democrat Elissa Slotkin leading Republican Mike Rogers by 4–7 points in the open Michigan Senate race, driving trader consensus to an 82% implied probability for a Democratic win in this battleground state. Slotkin's edge stems from her fundraising dominance—over $70 million raised versus Rogers' $30 million—and strong performance among independents and women voters, bolstered by recent Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA and Glengariff polls post their October debate confirming her 5-point advantage. Rogers has narrowed the gap slightly with Trump campaign crossovers in swing state Michigan, but historical Democratic tilts in Senate races here and early voting trends favor Slotkin ahead of the November 5 election. Traders price in low upset risk barring an October surprise.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$22,433 交易量
$22,433 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
82%
共和黨
19%
$22,433 交易量
$22,433 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
$0 交易量
82%
共和黨
$22,433 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Polls consistently show Democrat Elissa Slotkin leading Republican Mike Rogers by 4–7 points in the open Michigan Senate race, driving trader consensus to an 82% implied probability for a Democratic win in this battleground state. Slotkin's edge stems from her fundraising dominance—over $70 million raised versus Rogers' $30 million—and strong performance among independents and women voters, bolstered by recent Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA and Glengariff polls post their October debate confirming her 5-point advantage. Rogers has narrowed the gap slightly with Trump campaign crossovers in swing state Michigan, but historical Democratic tilts in Senate races here and early voting trends favor Slotkin ahead of the November 5 election. Traders price in low upset risk barring an October surprise.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$22,433結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Polls consistently show Democrat Elissa Slotkin leading Republican Mike Rogers by 4–7 points in the open Michigan Senate race, driving trader consensus to an 82% implied probability for a Democratic win in this battleground state. Slotkin's edge stems from her fundraising dominance—over $70 million raised versus Rogers' $30 million—and strong performance among independents and women voters, bolstered by recent Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA and Glengariff polls post their October debate confirming her 5-point advantage. Rogers has narrowed the gap slightly with Trump campaign crossovers in swing state Michigan, but historical Democratic tilts in Senate races here and early voting trends favor Slotkin ahead of the November 5 election. Traders price in low upset risk barring an October surprise.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$22,433結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polls consistently show Democrat Elissa Slotkin leading Republican Mike Rogers by 4–7 points in the open Michigan Senate race, driving trader consensus to an 82% implied probability for a Democratic win in this battleground state. Slotkin's edge stems from her fundraising dominance—over $70 million raised versus Rogers' $30 million—and strong performance among independents and women voters, bolstered by recent Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA and Glengariff polls post their October debate confirming her 5-point advantage. Rogers has narrowed the gap slightly with Trump campaign crossovers in swing state Michigan, but historical Democratic tilts in Senate races here and early voting trends favor Slotkin ahead of the November 5 election. Traders price in low upset risk barring an October surprise.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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