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政治·主要

密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

約翰·詹姆斯 44%

佩里·約翰遜 36%

阿里克·內斯比特 10.1%

伊文·史派斯 7.9%

Polymarket

$15,662 交易量

約翰·詹姆斯 44%

佩里·約翰遜 36%

阿里克·內斯比特 10.1%

伊文·史派斯 7.9%

Polymarket

$15,662 交易量

約翰·詹姆斯

$5,993 交易量

44%

佩里·約翰遜

$7,383 交易量

36%

阿里克·內斯比特

$0 交易量

7%

伊文·史派斯

$648 交易量

8%

威廉·納爾

$802 交易量

4%

安東尼·哈德森

$0 交易量

3%

湯姆·倫納德

$0 交易量

3%

Mike Cox

$0 交易量

2%

喬伊斯·吉普森

$0 交易量

11%

卡拉·瓦格納

$0 交易量

2%

Ralph Rebandt

$837 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.A recent JMC Analytics poll of likely Republican primary voters shows U.S. Rep. John James leading businessman Perry Johnson 23%-20%—with 44% undecided—reflecting Johnson's surge via TV ads targeting James, aggressive campaigning in James' Macomb County base, and a bold proposal to eliminate Michigan's state income tax, which resonates with base voters despite budget concerns. Traders price James as the frontrunner at 44.5% implied probability, buoyed by his congressional name recognition, strong favorables (+41), and established fundraising, while Johnson's self-funded momentum has lifted him to 26.5% amid a fragmented field featuring Aric Nesbitt, Joyce Gipson, and Evan Space. High undecideds signal volatility ahead of the April filing deadline and August primary.

A recent JMC Analytics poll of likely Republican primary voters shows U.S. Rep. John James leading businessman Perry Johnson 23%-20%—with 44% undecided—reflecting Johnson's surge via TV ads targeting James, aggressive campaigning in James' Macomb County base, and a bold proposal to eliminate Michigan's state income tax, which resonates with base voters despite budget concerns. Traders price James as the frontrunner at 44.5% implied probability, buoyed by his congressional name recognition, strong favorables (+41), and established fundraising, while Johnson's self-funded momentum has lifted him to 26.5% amid a fragmented field featuring Aric Nesbitt, Joyce Gipson, and Evan Space. High undecideds signal volatility ahead of the April filing deadline and August primary.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.A recent JMC Analytics poll of likely Republican primary voters shows U.S. Rep. John James leading businessman Perry Johnson 23%-20%—with 44% undecided—reflecting Johnson's surge via TV ads targeting James, aggressive campaigning in James' Macomb County base, and a bold proposal to eliminate Michigan's state income tax, which resonates with base voters despite budget concerns. Traders price James as the frontrunner at 44.5% implied probability, buoyed by his congressional name recognition, strong favorables (+41), and established fundraising, while Johnson's self-funded momentum has lifted him to 26.5% amid a fragmented field featuring Aric Nesbitt, Joyce Gipson, and Evan Space. High undecideds signal volatility ahead of the April filing deadline and August primary.

A recent JMC Analytics poll of likely Republican primary voters shows U.S. Rep. John James leading businessman Perry Johnson 23%-20%—with 44% undecided—reflecting Johnson's surge via TV ads targeting James, aggressive campaigning in James' Macomb County base, and a bold proposal to eliminate Michigan's state income tax, which resonates with base voters despite budget concerns. Traders price James as the frontrunner at 44.5% implied probability, buoyed by his congressional name recognition, strong favorables (+41), and established fundraising, while Johnson's self-funded momentum has lifted him to 26.5% amid a fragmented field featuring Aric Nesbitt, Joyce Gipson, and Evan Space. High undecideds signal volatility ahead of the April filing deadline and August primary.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "約翰·詹姆斯" at 45%, followed by "佩里·約翰遜" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $15.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is "約翰·詹姆斯" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "佩里·約翰遜" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.