密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

Name: 密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者
Start: 2025-09-15T19:47:16.189Z
End: 2026-08-04T00:00:00.000Z

選舉·美國大選

密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

馬洛里·麥克莫羅 65%

阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德 22%

哈利·史蒂文斯 15%

拉希達·特萊比 <1%

$207,373 交易量

Aug 4, 2026

馬洛里·麥克莫羅

$20,547 交易量

65%

阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德

$75,657 交易量

22%

哈利·史蒂文斯

$15,641 交易量

15%

拉希達·特萊比

$9,434 交易量

<1%

馬特·薩爾

$50,998 交易量

<1%

達娜·奈塞爾

$7,918 交易量

<1%

Sarah Anthony

$8,212 交易量

<1%

克莉絲汀·麥當勞·里維特

$6,766 交易量

<1%

安迪·萊文

$12,200 交易量

<1%

馬洛里·麥克莫羅 65%

阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德 22%

哈利·史蒂文斯 15%

拉希達·特萊比 <1%

$207,373 交易量

Aug 4, 2026

馬洛里·麥克莫羅

$20,547 交易量

65%

阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德

$75,657 交易量

22%

哈利·史蒂文斯

$15,641 交易量

15%

拉希達·特萊比

$9,434 交易量

<1%

馬特·薩爾

$50,998 交易量

<1%

達娜·奈塞爾

$7,918 交易量

<1%

Sarah Anthony

$8,212 交易量

<1%

克莉絲汀·麥當勞·里維特

$6,766 交易量

<1%

安迪·萊文

$12,200 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Trader consensus in the Michigan Democratic Senate primary heavily favors state Rep. Mallory McMorrow at 64.5% implied probability, driven by her double-digit leads in the latest polls, including a Glengariff Group survey from late July showing her at 28% support ahead of Abdul El-Sayed's 17% and Rep. Haley Stevens' 13%. McMorrow's fundraising edge—over $5 million raised—along with endorsements from EMILY's List and key Michigan Democrats, has solidified her frontrunner status amid the August 6 primary. El-Sayed draws progressive backing from his 2018 gubernatorial run, while Stevens leverages her House incumbency but trails in battleground appeal. Recent debate performances boosted McMorrow's momentum without major shifts for challengers.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 26, 2026, 11:48 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "馬洛里·麥克莫羅" at 65%, followed by "阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $207.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "馬洛里·麥克莫羅" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $207.4K traded on “密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 65¢ for "馬洛里·麥克莫羅" in the "密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 65% chance that "馬洛里·麥克莫羅" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 65¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 35¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Aug 4, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" market has a growing discussion of 2 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

規則

盤口背景

盤口背景

評論 (2)

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