Incumbent Republican Rep. Bill Huizenga's reelection bid in Michigan's 4th Congressional District, rated R+3 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus toward a 70% implied probability of a GOP hold, bolstered by his 2024 victory margin of 12 points and superior fundraising with over $1.5 million cash on hand as of late 2025. Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann, backed by the DCCC's Red to Blue program since February and added to national target lists on March 17, faces a crowded August 4 primary against challengers like Diop Harris. Early December 2025 polls showed a tight 44-42 Huizenga edge, but no recent surveys have shifted odds amid the district's Republican lean and Huizenga's experience. Primaries and general election on November 3 remain key catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
共和黨
67%
民主黨
24%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
共和黨
$99 交易量
67%
民主黨
$290 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Bill Huizenga's reelection bid in Michigan's 4th Congressional District, rated R+3 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus toward a 70% implied probability of a GOP hold, bolstered by his 2024 victory margin of 12 points and superior fundraising with over $1.5 million cash on hand as of late 2025. Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann, backed by the DCCC's Red to Blue program since February and added to national target lists on March 17, faces a crowded August 4 primary against challengers like Diop Harris. Early December 2025 polls showed a tight 44-42 Huizenga edge, but no recent surveys have shifted odds amid the district's Republican lean and Huizenga's experience. Primaries and general election on November 3 remain key catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$389結束日期
Nov 4, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Bill Huizenga's reelection bid in Michigan's 4th Congressional District, rated R+3 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus toward a 70% implied probability of a GOP hold, bolstered by his 2024 victory margin of 12 points and superior fundraising with over $1.5 million cash on hand as of late 2025. Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann, backed by the DCCC's Red to Blue program since February and added to national target lists on March 17, faces a crowded August 4 primary against challengers like Diop Harris. Early December 2025 polls showed a tight 44-42 Huizenga edge, but no recent surveys have shifted odds amid the district's Republican lean and Huizenga's experience. Primaries and general election on November 3 remain key catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$389結束日期
Nov 4, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Bill Huizenga's reelection bid in Michigan's 4th Congressional District, rated R+3 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus toward a 70% implied probability of a GOP hold, bolstered by his 2024 victory margin of 12 points and superior fundraising with over $1.5 million cash on hand as of late 2025. Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann, backed by the DCCC's Red to Blue program since February and added to national target lists on March 17, faces a crowded August 4 primary against challengers like Diop Harris. Early December 2025 polls showed a tight 44-42 Huizenga edge, but no recent surveys have shifted odds amid the district's Republican lean and Huizenga's experience. Primaries and general election on November 3 remain key catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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