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政治·主要

MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者

Dan Koh 74%

Seth Moulton 11.9%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito 6.5%

Tram Nguyen 4.7%

Polymarket
NEW

Dan Koh 74%

Seth Moulton 11.9%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito 6.5%

Tram Nguyen 4.7%

Polymarket
NEW

Dan Koh

$3,508 交易量

74%

Seth Moulton

$0 交易量

12%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$0 交易量

6%

Tram Nguyen

$0 交易量

5%

Diann Slavit Baylis

$0 交易量

4%

多米尼克·潘加洛

$0 交易量

3%

約翰·貝西亞

$0 交易量

2%

Rick Jakious

$0 交易量

2%

Rachel Creemers

$0 交易量

2%

瑪麗亞·蘭卡斯特

$0 交易量

8%

Beth Andres-Beck

$1,341 交易量

<1%

凱文·拉里維

$1,228 交易量

7%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh dominates trader consensus at 74% implied probability in the MA-06 Democratic primary, propelled by his campaign's recent internal poll showing a 20-point lead over incumbent Seth Moulton and superior fundraising with over $1 million raised in Q2, affording aggressive ad buys in the final stretch before the September 3 vote. Moulton, at 11.8%, faces skepticism from local party leaders despite his incumbency advantage and national profile, with endorsements tilting toward Koh from key state representatives and mayors emphasizing district priorities like housing and jobs. Progressive challenger Jamie Zahlaway Belsito holds 9.6% amid scattered field support, while others trail as lower-tier contenders; no major polls have emerged in the past week, leaving momentum and turnout as pivotal for this closely watched moderate vs. establishment contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$6,076
結束日期
Sep 15, 2026
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh dominates trader consensus at 74% implied probability in the MA-06 Democratic primary, propelled by his campaign's recent internal poll showing a 20-point lead over incumbent Seth Moulton and superior fundraising with over $1 million raised in Q2, affording aggressive ad buys in the final stretch before the September 3 vote. Moulton, at 11.8%, faces skepticism from local party leaders despite his incumbency advantage and national profile, with endorsements tilting toward Koh from key state representatives and mayors emphasizing district priorities like housing and jobs. Progressive challenger Jamie Zahlaway Belsito holds 9.6% amid scattered field support, while others trail as lower-tier contenders; no major polls have emerged in the past week, leaving momentum and turnout as pivotal for this closely watched moderate vs. establishment contest.

Dan Koh dominates trader consensus at 74% implied probability in the MA-06 Democratic primary, propelled by his campaign's recent internal poll showing a 20-point lead over incumbent Seth Moulton and superior fundraising with over $1 million raised in Q2, affording aggressive ad buys in the final stretch before the September 3 vote. Moulton, at 11.8%, faces skepticism from local party leaders despite his incumbency advantage and national profile, with endorsements tilting toward Koh from key state representatives and mayors emphasizing district priorities like housing and jobs. Progressive challenger Jamie Zahlaway Belsito holds 9.6% amid scattered field support, while others trail as lower-tier contenders; no major polls have emerged in the past week, leaving momentum and turnout as pivotal for this closely watched moderate vs. establishment contest.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dan Koh" at 74%, followed by "Seth Moulton" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 25, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Dan Koh" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Seth Moulton" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.