Market icon
政治·主要

路易斯安那州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

路易斯安那州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Julia Letlow 72%

約翰·弗萊明 15.2%

比爾·卡西迪 10%

Julie Emerson <1%

Polymarket

$63,582 交易量

Julia Letlow 72%

約翰·弗萊明 15.2%

比爾·卡西迪 10%

Julie Emerson <1%

Polymarket

$63,582 交易量

Julia Letlow

$6,892 交易量

72%

約翰·弗萊明

$30,327 交易量

15%

比爾·卡西迪

$26,363 交易量

10%

Julie Emerson

$0 交易量

<1%

Blake Miguez

$0 交易量

<1%

薩繆爾“薩米”懷亞特

$0 交易量

<1%

蘭德爾·阿靈頓

$0 交易量

<1%

埃里克·斯克梅塔

$0 交易量

<1%

克里斯·霍爾德

$0 交易量

<1%

Xan John

$0 交易量

<1%

凱西·塞登

$0 交易量

<1%

特蕾西·丹迪

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Julia Letlow leads trader consensus at 72% implied probability to win the Louisiana Republican Senate primary, driven by her incumbency in the competitive 3rd Congressional District, superior fundraising—over $2 million raised early—and dominant early polling averages showing her in the mid-40s among GOP voters following Sen. Bill Cassidy's January 2025 retirement announcement opening the 2026 seat. State Treasurer John Fleming trails at 15% as the primary challenger, bolstered by his statewide name recognition and conservative credentials, while Cassidy lingers at 10% on slim odds of reconsidering his exit amid party encouragement. A recent internal poll last week reinforced Letlow's edge, with the jungle primary set for late 2025 under Louisiana's majority-vote system where top-two advance regardless of party. Minor candidates hold negligible shares due to weak organization and visibility.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.

If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$63,582
結束日期
May 16, 2026
市場開放時間
Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Julia Letlow leads trader consensus at 72% implied probability to win the Louisiana Republican Senate primary, driven by her incumbency in the competitive 3rd Congressional District, superior fundraising—over $2 million raised early—and dominant early polling averages showing her in the mid-40s among GOP voters following Sen. Bill Cassidy's January 2025 retirement announcement opening the 2026 seat. State Treasurer John Fleming trails at 15% as the primary challenger, bolstered by his statewide name recognition and conservative credentials, while Cassidy lingers at 10% on slim odds of reconsidering his exit amid party encouragement. A recent internal poll last week reinforced Letlow's edge, with the jungle primary set for late 2025 under Louisiana's majority-vote system where top-two advance regardless of party. Minor candidates hold negligible shares due to weak organization and visibility.

Rep. Julia Letlow leads trader consensus at 72% implied probability to win the Louisiana Republican Senate primary, driven by her incumbency in the competitive 3rd Congressional District, superior fundraising—over $2 million raised early—and dominant early polling averages showing her in the mid-40s among GOP voters following Sen. Bill Cassidy's January 2025 retirement announcement opening the 2026 seat. State Treasurer John Fleming trails at 15% as the primary challenger, bolstered by his statewide name recognition and conservative credentials, while Cassidy lingers at 10% on slim odds of reconsidering his exit amid party encouragement. A recent internal poll last week reinforced Letlow's edge, with the jungle primary set for late 2025 under Louisiana's majority-vote system where top-two advance regardless of party. Minor candidates hold negligible shares due to weak organization and visibility.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"路易斯安那州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Julia Letlow" at 72%, followed by "約翰·弗萊明" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "路易斯安那州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $63.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "路易斯安那州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "路易斯安那州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "Julia Letlow" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "約翰·弗萊明" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "路易斯安那州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.