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選舉·全球選舉

拉巴斯市長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）

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選舉·全球選舉

拉巴斯市長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）

塞薩爾·多克維勒 100.0%

沙維爾·伊圖拉爾德 <1%

Jhonny Plata <1%

瓦爾多·阿爾瓦拉辛 <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

塞薩爾·多克維勒 100.0%

沙維爾·伊圖拉爾德 <1%

Jhonny Plata <1%

瓦爾多·阿爾瓦拉辛 <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

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沙維爾·伊圖拉爾德

$0 交易量

否

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Jhonny Plata

$0 交易量

否

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瓦爾多·阿爾瓦拉辛

$0 交易量

否

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塞薩爾·多克維勒

$0 交易量

是

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皮埃爾·尚

$0 交易量

否

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米格爾·羅卡

$0 交易量

否

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奧斯卡·索利亞諾

$0 交易量

否

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保羅·科卡

$0 交易量

否

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卡洛斯·愛德華多·帕連克

$0 交易量

否

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伊萬·阿里亞斯

$0 交易量

否

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羅德里戈·里維拉

$0 交易量

否

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亞歷杭德羅·雷耶斯

$0 交易量

否

The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Official results from Bolivia's La Paz municipal election have solidified César Dockweiler's position as the decisive winner, with traders pricing him at virtually 100% implied probability after his overwhelming margin in vote tallies reported by the Plurinational Electoral Organ. Pre-election polling consistently showed Dockweiler, backed by strong community organizing and opposition to MAS party incumbents, leading rivals like Iván Arias by double digits amid high turnout. This commanding trader consensus reflects certified counts from electoral authorities, minimizing upset risks. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a full recount or court intervention, though no major disputes have emerged from observers or opponents as of final tabulations.

Official results from Bolivia's La Paz municipal election have solidified César Dockweiler's position as the decisive winner, with traders pricing him at virtually 100% implied probability after his overwhelming margin in vote tallies reported by the Plurinational Electoral Organ. Pre-election polling consistently showed Dockweiler, backed by strong community organizing and opposition to MAS party incumbents, leading rivals like Iván Arias by double digits amid high turnout. This commanding trader consensus reflects certified counts from electoral authorities, minimizing upset risks. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a full recount or court intervention, though no major disputes have emerged from observers or opponents as of final tabulations.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Official results from Bolivia's La Paz municipal election have solidified César Dockweiler's position as the decisive winner, with traders pricing him at virtually 100% implied probability after his overwhelming margin in vote tallies reported by the Plurinational Electoral Organ. Pre-election polling consistently showed Dockweiler, backed by strong community organizing and opposition to MAS party incumbents, leading rivals like Iván Arias by double digits amid high turnout. This commanding trader consensus reflects certified counts from electoral authorities, minimizing upset risks. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a full recount or court intervention, though no major disputes have emerged from observers or opponents as of final tabulations.

Official results from Bolivia's La Paz municipal election have solidified César Dockweiler's position as the decisive winner, with traders pricing him at virtually 100% implied probability after his overwhelming margin in vote tallies reported by the Plurinational Electoral Organ. Pre-election polling consistently showed Dockweiler, backed by strong community organizing and opposition to MAS party incumbents, leading rivals like Iván Arias by double digits amid high turnout. This commanding trader consensus reflects certified counts from electoral authorities, minimizing upset risks. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a full recount or court intervention, though no major disputes have emerged from observers or opponents as of final tabulations.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"拉巴斯市長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "塞薩爾·多克維勒" at 100%, followed by "沙維爾·伊圖拉爾德" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"拉巴斯市長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "拉巴斯市長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "拉巴斯市長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）" is "塞薩爾·多克維勒" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "沙維爾·伊圖拉爾德" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "拉巴斯市長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.