Market icon
選舉·全球選舉

拉巴斯市長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）

Market icon
選舉·全球選舉

拉巴斯市長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）

塞薩爾·多克維勒 58.3%

米格爾·羅卡 13.2%

瓦爾多·阿爾瓦拉辛 5.7%

伊萬·阿里亞斯 4.1%

Polymarket

$1,702,581 交易量

塞薩爾·多克維勒 58.3%

米格爾·羅卡 13.2%

瓦爾多·阿爾瓦拉辛 5.7%

伊萬·阿里亞斯 4.1%

Polymarket

$1,702,581 交易量

Market icon

塞薩爾·多克維勒

$31,132 交易量

58%

Market icon

米格爾·羅卡

$696,927 交易量

13%

Market icon

瓦爾多·阿爾瓦拉辛

$324,727 交易量

6%

Market icon

伊萬·阿里亞斯

$77,831 交易量

4%

Market icon

沙維爾·伊圖拉爾德

$198,942 交易量

4%

Market icon

Jhonny Plata

$12,069 交易量

3%

Market icon

卡洛斯·愛德華多·帕連克

$262,394 交易量

2%

Market icon

羅德里戈·里維拉

$41,737 交易量

2%

Market icon

奧斯卡·索利亞諾

$11,663 交易量

2%

Market icon

亞歷杭德羅·雷耶斯

$15,705 交易量

1%

Market icon

保羅·科卡

$10,360 交易量

1%

Market icon

皮埃爾·尚

$19,093 交易量

<1%

The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).

The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
交易量
$1,702,581
結束日期
Mar 22, 2026
市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 5:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).

Trader consensus on Polymarket gives César Dockweiler a 58% implied probability to win Bolivia's La Paz mayoral election, driven by his consistent double-digit leads in recent polls from firms like Ciesmori and Datum, positioning him ahead of a fragmented field. As the Creemos opposition candidate, Dockweiler capitalizes on voter frustration with ruling MAS party infighting, evident in split support for contenders like Miguel Roca (13%), whose recent rally turnout has narrowed the gap slightly. Waldo Albarracín and Iván Arias lag due to weaker grassroots momentum and past administrative controversies. A televised debate last week reinforced Dockweiler's edge, while upcoming runoff scenarios could shift dynamics if no candidate exceeds 50% in the first round.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"拉巴斯市長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "塞薩爾·多克維勒" at 58%, followed by "米格爾·羅卡" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "拉巴斯市長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "拉巴斯市長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "拉巴斯市長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）" is "塞薩爾·多克維勒" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "米格爾·羅卡" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "拉巴斯市長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.