Trader consensus for the La Paz gubernatorial election hinges on neck-and-neck polling between Luis Antonio Revilla (39.9%) and Felix Patzi (38.9%), reflecting fragmented voter bases in Bolivia's highland department. Revilla draws from urban support tied to his La Paz mayoral record, while Patzi leverages prior governorship experience and Comunidad Ciudadana ties, amid MAS party infighting spilling over from national Arce-Morales tensions. Lower-tier candidates like René Yahuasi split indigenous and rural votes, sustaining tightness. Recent surveys show undecideds at 10-15%, with final debates, endorsements, or turnout in El Alto potentially creating separation before the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於費利克斯·帕西 50.3%
路易斯·安東尼奧·雷維利亞 40.4%
雷內·亞胡阿西·卡拉馬尼 18.2%
理查·安德烈斯·戈梅斯 7.0%
$22,077 交易量
$22,077 交易量
費利克斯·帕西
43%
路易斯·安東尼奧·雷維利亞
40%
雷內·亞胡阿西·卡拉馬尼
10%
理查·安德烈斯·戈梅斯
7%
桑托斯·基斯佩·基斯佩
6%
菲德爾·楚拉
4%
奧古斯托·薩圖爾尼諾·奧布利塔斯
3%
德梅特里奧·維爾卡
1%
英格瓦·埃勒夫森·多茲奧爾
1%
拉斐爾·基斯佩·弗洛雷斯
<1%
Germán Riveros
<1%
瓜爾貝托·庫西
<1%
奧蘭多·卡利薩亞
<1%
克萊門特·古鐵雷斯
<1%
利奧波多·理查·崔伊
<1%
費利克斯·帕西 50.3%
路易斯·安東尼奧·雷維利亞 40.4%
雷內·亞胡阿西·卡拉馬尼 18.2%
理查·安德烈斯·戈梅斯 7.0%
$22,077 交易量
$22,077 交易量
費利克斯·帕西
43%
路易斯·安東尼奧·雷維利亞
40%
雷內·亞胡阿西·卡拉馬尼
10%
理查·安德烈斯·戈梅斯
7%
桑托斯·基斯佩·基斯佩
6%
菲德爾·楚拉
4%
奧古斯托·薩圖爾尼諾·奧布利塔斯
3%
德梅特里奧·維爾卡
1%
英格瓦·埃勒夫森·多茲奧爾
1%
拉斐爾·基斯佩·弗洛雷斯
<1%
Germán Riveros
<1%
瓜爾貝托·庫西
<1%
奧蘭多·卡利薩亞
<1%
克萊門特·古鐵雷斯
<1%
利奧波多·理查·崔伊
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
市場開放時間: Jan 20, 2026, 11:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus for the La Paz gubernatorial election hinges on neck-and-neck polling between Luis Antonio Revilla (39.9%) and Felix Patzi (38.9%), reflecting fragmented voter bases in Bolivia's highland department. Revilla draws from urban support tied to his La Paz mayoral record, while Patzi leverages prior governorship experience and Comunidad Ciudadana ties, amid MAS party infighting spilling over from national Arce-Morales tensions. Lower-tier candidates like René Yahuasi split indigenous and rural votes, sustaining tightness. Recent surveys show undecideds at 10-15%, with final debates, endorsements, or turnout in El Alto potentially creating separation before the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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